赔率学院

Benfica v Braga

开赛时间: 2026-05-11 19:15 UTC

最终结果: Benfica 2–2 Braga

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

59 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Benfica (主队)

预测 68.01%1.47公平赔率
EV -2.06%
优势 -1.43%
Kelly -4.68%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.44

博彩公司预测分布
65.06%68.02%67.97%69.94%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.321.371.361.4475.76%73.25%73.53%69.44%MIN均值中位数MAX

Braga (客队)

预测 13.03%7.67公平赔率
EV +6.22%
优势 +0.763%
Kelly +0.870%
增长率 +0.054%

假设最高赔率为 8.15

博彩公司预测分布
11.91%13.05%13.09%14.68%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
6.507.217.268.1515.38%13.87%13.77%12.27%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 18.95%5.28公平赔率
EV +1.59%
优势 +0.296%
Kelly +0.364%
增长率 +0.006%

假设最高赔率为 5.36

博彩公司预测分布
17.95%18.93%18.94%21.63%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.004.884.905.3625.00%20.48%20.41%18.66%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
1xBet1.39I 71.94%NM 69.94%EV -5.46%E -3.93%K -14.00%G +0.000%8.15I 12.27%NM 11.93%EV +6.22%E +0.763%K +0.870%G +0.054%5.36I 18.66%NM 18.14%EV +1.59%E +0.296%K +0.364%G +0.006%2.9%2026-05-11 18:10
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.04%EV -6.14%E -4.45%K -16.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%EV +4.26%E +0.533%K +0.609%G +0.026%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 18:09
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 69.55%EV -6.82%E -4.98%K -18.43%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.30%EV +1.00%E +0.130%K +0.149%G +0.001%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -0.497%E -0.095%K -0.117%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-11 18:09
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 69.30%EV -6.14%E -4.45%K -16.16%G +0.000%7.64I 13.09%NM 12.52%EV -0.429%E -0.056%K -0.065%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.18%EV -0.308%E -0.059%K -0.072%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 18:35
Marathon Bet1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -8.18%E -6.06%K -23.37%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.27%EV -0.951%E -0.125%K -0.144%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 18:14
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -6.14%E -4.45%K -16.16%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -7.13%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 18:09
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 18:14
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 18:14
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 14:44
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -7.13%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 18:10
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -7.13%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 18:10
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -7.13%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 18:13
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -7.13%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 18:14
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -7.13%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-11 18:09
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -6.82%E -4.98%K -18.43%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.97%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 18:10
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -8.18%E -6.06%K -23.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -7.13%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:10
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -8.18%E -6.06%K -23.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -7.13%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:10
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -8.18%E -6.06%K -23.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -7.13%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:10
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -8.18%E -6.06%K -23.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -7.13%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:10
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 68.70%EV -8.18%E -6.06%K -23.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.37%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.93%EV -7.13%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 18:10
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.97%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 14:59
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.14%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.51%EV -9.97%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-11 13:18
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.71%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.02%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-11 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.59%EV -8.86%E -6.61%K -26.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 18:10
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 68.59%EV -8.86%E -6.61%K -26.06%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-11 18:09
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -9.54%E -7.17%K -28.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-11 14:59
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.92%EV -10.22%E -7.74%K -31.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-11 18:10
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.92%EV -10.22%E -7.74%K -31.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.13%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-11 18:10
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 68.78%EV -10.22%E -7.74%K -31.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.11%EV -2.25%E -0.301%K -0.347%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -9.97%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-11 18:09
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 67.33%EV -4.78%E -3.41%K -11.95%G +0.000%7.26I 13.77%NM 12.98%EV -5.38%E -0.741%K -0.860%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 19.68%EV -9.22%E -1.92%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-11 14:30
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -6.14%E -4.45%K -16.16%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -5.51%E -0.760%K -0.882%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 18:34
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -6.14%E -4.45%K -16.16%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -5.51%E -0.760%K -0.882%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-11 18:34
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 68.76%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -5.51%E -0.760%K -0.882%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -3.34%E -0.655%K -0.815%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 18:33
BetUS1.36I 73.53%NM 68.76%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -5.51%E -0.760%K -0.882%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -3.34%E -0.655%K -0.815%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 18:34
NetBet (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.63%EV -10.22%E -7.74%K -31.94%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.50%EV -5.51%E -0.760%K -0.882%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.87%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-11 15:39
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.78%E -3.41%K -11.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.77%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 18:14
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.78%E -3.41%K -11.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -8.77%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-11 18:35
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.14%E -4.45%K -16.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -8.77%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 18:34
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.14%E -4.45%K -16.16%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -8.77%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.97%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 14:09
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -8.77%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 14:59
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.77%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.97%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-11 18:09
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.77%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.97%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-11 18:09
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.77%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.97%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-11 18:14
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.77%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -9.97%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-11 18:14
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -8.77%E -1.25%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.82%E -2.79%K -3.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-11 16:24
Betsson1.39I 71.94%NM 67.46%EV -5.46%E -3.93%K -14.00%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.59%EV -10.07%E -1.46%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.94%EV -6.18%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 17:09
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.46%EV -5.46%E -3.93%K -14.00%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.59%EV -10.07%E -1.46%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.94%EV -6.18%E -1.25%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-11 17:09
Winamax (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -6.82%E -4.98%K -18.43%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -12.03%E -1.78%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -3.34%E -0.655%K -0.815%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-11 14:34
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 66.89%EV -6.14%E -4.45%K -16.16%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -12.03%E -1.78%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.97%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-11 17:09
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -6.82%E -4.98%K -18.43%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -12.68%E -1.89%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -1.45%E -0.278%K -0.344%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 18:34
Unibet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.31%EV -8.18%E -6.06%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.56%EV -12.68%E -1.89%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.13%EV -9.97%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-11 18:14
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -2.06%E -1.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -15.29%E -2.35%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -5.24%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-11 18:09
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -4.78%E -3.41%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -15.29%E -2.35%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 18:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -4.78%E -3.41%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -15.29%E -2.35%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -4.78%E -3.41%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -15.29%E -2.35%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 18:09
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -4.78%E -3.41%K -11.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -15.29%E -2.35%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.03%E -1.88%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 18:09
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -8.18%E -6.06%K -23.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -15.29%E -2.35%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -7.13%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-11 14:34
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -15.29%E -2.35%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.97%E -2.10%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-11 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.06%EV -9.54%E -7.17%K -28.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -15.29%E -2.35%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -24.19%E -6.05%K -8.06%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-11 16:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-05-11 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-05-11 18:35
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.24%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.08%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%1.0%2026-05-11 18:35
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.99%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.03%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.97%1.4%2026-05-11 18:35
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 68.90%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.63%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.47%2.9%2026-05-11 18:34