مدرسة الاحتمالات

Arouca v Santa Clara

البداية: 2026-05-02 14:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Arouca 2–2 Santa Clara

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Arouca (المضيف)

التنبؤ 34.63%2.89السعر العادل
EV -1.30%
الأفضلية -0.458%
Kelly -0.705%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.76%34.62%34.63%35.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.552.722.722.8539.22%36.70%36.76%35.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Santa Clara (الضيف)

التنبؤ 34.17%2.93السعر العادل
EV -0.576%
الأفضلية -0.198%
Kelly -0.301%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.91

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.83%34.27%34.04%36.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.482.672.672.9140.32%37.47%37.45%34.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 31.20%3.20السعر العادل
EV +0.787%
الأفضلية +0.244%
Kelly +0.353%
النمو +0.003%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.23

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.42%31.11%31.33%32.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.753.013.003.2336.36%33.23%33.33%30.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.42%EV -5.11%E -1.87%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.54%EV -3.99%E -1.42%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%EV +0.787%E +0.244%K +0.353%G +0.003%3.0%2026-05-02 14:20
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV -7.75%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -1.71%E -0.543%K -0.795%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-02 09:26
GTbets2.81I 35.59%NM 33.78%EV -2.69%E -0.957%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.69%EV -9.12%E -3.43%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.53%EV -2.96%E -0.951%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 04:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -7.75%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 10:15
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.42%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -7.75%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 10:16
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -9.46%E -3.57%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 09:30
PointsBet (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -9.46%E -3.57%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 09:35
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -8.92%E -3.39%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -7.75%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 13:30
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -11.69%E -4.59%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -10.48%E -4.00%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -3.27%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 14:23
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.88%EV -7.75%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 10:55
ATG (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -1.30%E -0.458%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -11.17%E -4.30%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:16
Svenska Spel2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -1.30%E -0.458%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -11.17%E -4.30%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:15
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -1.30%E -0.458%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 14:15
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -1.30%E -0.458%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 14:25
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -1.30%E -0.458%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 14:14
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -1.30%E -0.458%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 14:15
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -1.30%E -0.458%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 14:15
Bally Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -1.30%E -0.458%K -0.705%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 14:15
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -9.46%E -3.57%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -9.46%E -3.57%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 10:15
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -9.46%E -3.57%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 10:15
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -8.23%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -11.17%E -4.30%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -4.83%E -1.58%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 10:51
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 34.85%EV -3.73%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.29%EV -0.576%E -0.198%K -0.301%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.87%EV -5.14%E -1.69%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-02 14:10
LowVig.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.83%EV -5.81%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.59%EV -3.65%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 14:25
BetOnline.ag2.72I 36.76%NM 34.83%EV -5.81%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.59%EV -3.65%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 14:25
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 13:39
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.29%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.43%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 14:20
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.67%EV -4.33%E -1.55%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.42%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 14:05
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -2.63%E -0.921%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 14:25
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.75%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:40
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.75%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 13:40
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 14:25
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 14:25
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 14:25
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 14:25
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.91%EV -9.46%E -3.57%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-02 10:14
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.62%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -11.17%E -4.30%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-02 09:35
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -3.04%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:25
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -3.04%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:16
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -3.04%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -3.04%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:15
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -3.04%E -1.08%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-02 14:16
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.75%E -2.87%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 14:05
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -12.88%E -5.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -6.39%E -2.13%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-02 10:50
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -7.19%E -2.68%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -5.02%E -1.80%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -7.01%E -2.35%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 14:01
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -7.19%E -2.68%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -5.02%E -1.80%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -7.01%E -2.35%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 14:00
Bovada2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.25%EV -3.31%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:10
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.25%EV -3.31%E -1.17%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 14:05
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -14.58%E -5.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 14:15
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -14.58%E -5.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-02 14:16
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.46%EV -15.27%E -6.16%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 14:15
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -8.23%E -3.11%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.83%EV -14.58%E -5.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -7.95%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-02 14:09
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -4.77%E -1.73%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.92%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 09:25
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 14:04
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.51%E -3.28%K -5.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 14:01
Marathon Bet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -5.81%E -2.13%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.43%EV -4.68%E -1.68%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.28%EV -9.82%E -3.40%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 14:19
Betclic (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -3.73%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -6.04%E -2.20%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.43%EV -10.13%E -3.52%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-02 14:10
NetBet (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.55%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.91%EV -8.78%E -3.29%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.54%EV -10.45%E -3.64%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-02 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -9.96%E -3.83%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -14.58%E -5.83%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.67%EV -14.19%E -5.16%K -8.11%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-02 13:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.74%0.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.74%0.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.78%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.74%0.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.95%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.54%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%0.7%2026-05-02 14:24
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.54%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.82%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.64%2.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.59%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%4.0%2026-05-02 14:05