Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arouca v Santa Clara

Início: 2026-09-13 17:00 UTC

Final: Arouca 1–2 Santa Clara

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Arouca (Local)

Previsão 36.47%2.74odd justa
EV +0.282%
Vantagem +0.103%
Kelly +0.161%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.52%36.53%36.40%38.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.532.502.7542.55%39.50%40.00%36.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Santa Clara (Visitante)

Previsão 32.75%3.05odd justa
EV -2.72%
Vantagem -0.916%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.68%32.74%32.75%34.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.632.802.802.9738.02%35.73%35.71%33.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 30.78%3.25odd justa
EV -1.51%
Vantagem -0.471%
Kelly -0.684%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.22%30.73%30.85%32.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.053.053.2034.48%32.74%32.79%31.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Arouca (Local): 36.47%; Santa Clara (Visitante): 32.75%; Empate: 30.78%. Para Arouca (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.74. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.282%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.282%E +0.103%K +0.161%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.74%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.74%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.35%EV -3.00%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.56%EV -2.72%E -0.916%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.09%EV -4.28%E -1.37%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.77%EV -3.00%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.04%EV -5.67%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.77%EV -3.00%E -1.13%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.04%EV -5.67%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 16:36
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 16:20
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:50
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 06:35
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -5.67%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 14:50
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -5.67%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 09:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.93%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.04%E -0.967%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 16:21
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.93%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.04%E -0.967%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 16:21
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.93%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.04%E -0.967%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 16:20
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.93%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.04%E -0.967%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 16:21
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.93%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.04%E -0.967%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 16:20
Bally Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.93%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.04%E -0.967%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.93%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.04%E -0.967%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 16:21
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -9.93%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -3.04%E -0.967%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 16:21
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.19%E -2.00%K -3.24%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 14:50
Bovada🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.20%EV -5.55%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -5.67%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 16:55
BetUS🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 36.20%EV -5.55%E -2.14%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -5.67%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.17%EV -5.92%E -2.29%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -5.67%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.42%EV -8.59%E -2.89%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 16:45
GTbets🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.90%EV -6.65%E -2.60%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.02%EV -6.32%E -2.21%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.08%EV -3.35%E -1.07%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 05:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 06:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -3.37%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -9.20%E -3.12%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 09:35
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -7.01%E -2.75%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.29%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 12:15
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.71%EV -8.10%E -3.22%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 16:55
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -6.00%E -2.09%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -1.51%E -0.471%K -0.684%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 05:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -3.04%E -0.967%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.29%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.51%E -0.471%K -0.684%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 05:40
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.29%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.51%E -0.471%K -0.684%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 05:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -8.29%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.51%E -0.471%K -0.684%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 05:40
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.29%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 14:50
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -8.29%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 05:40
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -6.65%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-13 16:55
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.29%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 16:55
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.29%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.29%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.29%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 16:55
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.29%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 10:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.29%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -13.20%E -4.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -13.20%E -4.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -13.20%E -4.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 14:55
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -13.20%E -4.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 16:20
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -13.20%E -4.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 14:55
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.83%E -3.53%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.98%EV -13.20%E -4.98%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 16:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.11%EV -9.56%E -3.86%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.05%EV -13.86%E -5.27%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 16:21
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -11.56%E -4.28%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 06:41
NetBet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -10.66%E -4.35%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.41%EV -9.27%E -3.35%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -10.74%E -3.70%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 10:01
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -12.48%E -5.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.29%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 16:55
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -12.48%E -5.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.29%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 16:57
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -12.48%E -5.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.29%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -4.58%E -1.48%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -12.48%E -5.20%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.22%EV -11.56%E -4.28%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.41%EV -6.12%E -2.01%K -2.99%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 06:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.00%EV -14.30%E -6.09%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.24%EV -9.27%E -3.35%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 16:33
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.91%EV -14.30%E -6.09%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.40%EV -9.93%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -7.66%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 16:36
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-09-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-09-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-09-13 16:55
Matchbook◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.0%2026-09-13 16:55
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.28%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%1.6%2026-09-13 16:55
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.33%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39%2.1%2026-09-13 16:30