مدرسة الاحتمالات

Arouca v CF Estrela

البداية: 2026-04-19 14:32 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Arouca 1–0 CF Estrela

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Arouca (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.69%2.34السعر العادل
EV -0.543%
الأفضلية -0.233%
Kelly -0.408%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
41.47%42.81%42.68%46.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.142.152.3351.28%46.78%46.51%42.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

CF Estrela (الضيف)

التنبؤ 26.98%3.71السعر العادل
EV +1.43%
الأفضلية +0.381%
Kelly +0.519%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.76

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.08%27.03%27.05%29.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.503.543.7633.33%28.56%28.25%26.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 30.34%3.30السعر العادل
EV +6.18%
الأفضلية +1.77%
Kelly +2.47%
النمو +0.153%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.45%30.16%30.28%32.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.103.103.5034.72%32.27%32.26%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.69%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV +6.18%E +1.77%K +2.47%G +0.153%4.1%2026-04-19 14:30
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -12.49%E -6.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV +1.16%E +0.310%K +0.422%G +0.005%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -1.40%E -0.431%K -0.623%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:30
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -12.49%E -6.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV +1.16%E +0.310%K +0.422%G +0.005%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -1.40%E -0.431%K -0.623%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 14:30
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -12.92%E -6.33%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -0.187%E -0.051%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -1.40%E -0.431%K -0.623%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 14:30
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -12.92%E -6.33%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -0.187%E -0.051%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -1.40%E -0.431%K -0.623%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 14:30
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -12.92%E -6.33%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -0.187%E -0.051%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -1.40%E -0.431%K -0.623%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 14:30
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -12.92%E -6.33%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -0.187%E -0.051%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -1.40%E -0.431%K -0.623%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 14:30
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.58%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 14:30
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -13.78%E -6.82%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -0.187%E -0.051%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 14:19
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.93%EV -13.78%E -6.82%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -0.187%E -0.051%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 14:30
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -13.78%E -6.82%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -1.54%E -0.421%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:30
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -13.78%E -6.82%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -1.54%E -0.421%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.77%EV -13.78%E -6.82%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -1.54%E -0.421%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -14.63%E -7.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -1.54%E -0.421%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -14.63%E -7.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -1.54%E -0.421%K -0.580%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-19 14:30
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -17.72%E -5.81%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -2.92%E -0.912%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 14:30
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%EV -15.48%E -7.82%K -15.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -2.89%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 14:30
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.03%EV -15.91%E -8.08%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -2.89%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.79%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 14:30
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.68%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.87%EV -19.07%E -6.36%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -4.43%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-19 14:30
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -2.89%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 14:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 14:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 14:30
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.89%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 14:30
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 14:29
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.58%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:29
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.58%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:30
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.16%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 14:29
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 14:30
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.68%E -4.27%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 14:29
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.68%E -4.27%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 14:29
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.68%E -4.27%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 14:29
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -12.33%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 14:29
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 45.91%EV -16.76%E -8.60%K -17.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.88%EV -5.95%E -1.92%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 14:30
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.79%EV -3.53%E -1.56%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.72%EV +1.43%E +0.381%K +0.519%G +0.007%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.50%EV -6.86%E -2.24%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 14:29
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.96%E -1.76%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -9.63%E -2.87%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 14:29
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 14:30
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -6.95%E -3.19%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 14:30
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.64%EV -0.543%E -0.233%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.01%EV +0.622%E +0.167%K +0.228%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.34%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-19 14:29
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.47%EV -2.68%E -1.17%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.58%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:29
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.47%EV -2.68%E -1.17%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -5.58%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:29
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.89%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 14:27
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.89%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 14:28
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -4.23%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 14:30
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.58%E -1.60%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 14:29
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:30
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:30
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -2.89%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 14:30
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -2.89%E -0.801%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 14:30
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 14:30
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.23%E -3.83%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.28%E -2.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 14:28
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.36%E -4.93%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.98%E -3.33%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 14:30
GTbets2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39%EV -8.65%E -4.04%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -1.54%E -0.421%K -0.580%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.16%EV -9.59%E -3.22%K -4.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 14:30
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.22%EV -5.67%E -2.56%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -4.50%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.42%EV -9.90%E -3.33%K -5.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 14:29
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -6.09%E -2.77%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -1.54%E -0.421%K -0.580%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 14:29
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.16%EV -9.08%E -4.26%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.68%EV -3.42%E -0.957%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -10.50%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -14.63%E -7.31%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -16.37%E -5.28%K -7.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -12.63%E -4.38%K -6.72%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-19 14:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.87%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.52%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60%0.5%2026-04-19 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-04-19 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-04-19 14:30
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-04-19 14:30
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%1.8%2026-04-19 14:30
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.79%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.06%3.0%2026-04-19 14:30