A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Alverca v Rio Ave FC

Início: 2026-09-19 17:03 UTC

Final: Alverca 1–0 Rio Ave FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alverca (Local)

Previsão 52.67%1.90odd justa
EV -3.62%
Vantagem -1.98%
Kelly -4.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.91%52.68%52.58%54.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.771.771.8359.88%56.46%56.50%54.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rio Ave FC (Visitante)

Previsão 21.36%4.68odd justa
EV +1.44%
Vantagem +0.304%
Kelly +0.385%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.79%21.36%21.44%23.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.284.254.7525.00%23.38%23.53%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.98%3.85odd justa
EV -2.59%
Vantagem -0.691%
Kelly -0.943%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.16%25.96%25.98%26.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.563.603.7529.41%28.12%27.78%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alverca (Local): 52.67%; Rio Ave FC (Visitante): 21.36%; Empate: 25.98%. Para Rio Ave FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.68. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.44%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.64%EV -6.78%E -3.83%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV +1.44%E +0.304%K +0.385%G +0.006%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.37%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 16:59
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.38%EV -9.94%E -5.81%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.79%EV +0.376%E +0.080%K +0.102%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 16:59
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.34%EV -4.67%E -2.58%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.63%EV -0.051%E -0.011%K -0.014%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.03%EV -3.63%E -0.979%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-19 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -9.41%E -5.47%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -1.76%E -0.383%K -0.489%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -3.89%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 16:30
SportsBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.32%EV -8.36%E -4.80%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.17%EV -1.76%E -0.383%K -0.489%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 16:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.52%EV -8.36%E -4.80%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.47%EV -2.83%E -0.621%K -0.797%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.01%EV -7.01%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.72%E -3.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -3.90%E -0.866%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.72%E -3.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -3.90%E -0.866%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 16:59
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.72%E -3.20%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -3.90%E -0.866%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 16:59
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.78%E -3.83%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -3.90%E -0.866%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 16:48
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.00%EV -8.88%E -5.14%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -3.90%E -0.866%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.89%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 16:59
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.23%EV -8.88%E -5.14%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -3.90%E -0.866%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 16:59
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.61%EV -6.78%E -3.83%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -6.03%E -1.37%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 17:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -6.25%E -3.51%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.50%EV -7.10%E -1.63%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 16:59
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -6.78%E -3.83%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -7.53%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-19 16:10
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.83%E -4.47%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -7.53%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.26%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 16:59
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.88%E -5.14%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -7.53%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 16:49
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.88%E -5.14%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -7.53%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 16:48
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.83%E -4.47%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -7.53%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 16:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.83%E -4.47%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -7.53%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -7.83%E -4.47%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -7.53%E -1.74%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 16:59
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -3.62%E -1.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.90%EV -7.95%E -1.85%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.52%EV -7.53%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-19 16:14
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.26%EV -3.62%E -1.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -8.17%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -2.59%E -0.691%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 16:15
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -6.78%E -3.83%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV -8.17%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.14%E -2.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -9.23%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:50
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.14%E -2.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -9.23%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:50
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.14%E -2.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -9.23%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.14%E -2.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -9.23%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:50
betPARX🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.14%E -2.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -9.23%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.14%E -2.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -9.23%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.14%E -2.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -9.23%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:54
Bally Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -4.14%E -2.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -9.23%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 16:54
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -6.25%E -3.51%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -9.23%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 16:45
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.69%EV -6.25%E -3.51%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -9.23%E -2.17%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-19 16:44
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.81%EV -3.62%E -1.98%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.57%EV -10.30%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -3.89%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 16:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.94%EV -4.14%E -2.28%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.30%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.89%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-19 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -10.30%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.89%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -10.30%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.89%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 16:14
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -10.30%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.89%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-19 16:14
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -10.46%E -6.16%K -14.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -10.30%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-19 16:59
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.41%EV -9.41%E -5.47%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.30%E -2.45%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.98%EV -11.52%E -6.86%K -16.94%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.45%EV -11.37%E -2.74%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.58%EV -9.61%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-19 16:33
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.44%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 16:15
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.44%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-19 16:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -7.30%E -4.15%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -12.44%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:50
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -7.30%E -4.15%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -12.44%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:50
BetRivers🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -7.83%E -4.47%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -12.44%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-19 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.07%EV -12.04%E -7.21%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.61%EV -12.44%E -3.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-19 16:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.57%E -3.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 16:14
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.20%E -2.89%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.57%E -3.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.09%E -2.60%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 16:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.13%EV -8.36%E -4.80%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.68%EV -14.57%E -3.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -6.49%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.94%EV -8.36%E -4.80%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.60%EV -14.57%E -3.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -7.79%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.83%E -4.47%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.57%E -3.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 16:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.83%E -4.47%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.57%E -3.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 16:54
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -7.83%E -4.47%K -10.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -14.57%E -3.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-19 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.37%EV -8.36%E -4.80%K -11.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.57%E -3.64%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.68%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-19 16:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.91%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%0.4%2026-09-19 16:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.09%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-09-19 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.09%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-09-19 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.58%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.76%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.66%1.2%2026-09-19 17:00
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.23%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.14%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%1.3%2026-09-19 17:00
Kalshi◎1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-09-19 17:00