預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Alverca v Braga

開賽時間: 2026-09-05 17:00 UTC

最終賽果: Alverca 1–2 Braga

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

57 家博彩公司 (20 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Alverca (主隊)

預測 20.61%4.85公平賠率
EV +0.983%
優勢 +0.201%
Kelly +0.252%
成長率 +0.002%

假設最高賠率為 4.90

博彩公司預測分布
19.08%20.61%20.62%21.92%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
4.204.484.504.9023.81%22.35%22.22%20.41%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Braga (客隊)

預測 52.85%1.89公平賠率
EV -3.28%
優勢 -1.79%
Kelly -3.95%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.83

博彩公司預測分布
51.07%52.80%52.84%54.08%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.651.751.751.8360.61%57.08%57.14%54.64%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 26.54%3.77公平賠率
EV -4.20%
優勢 -1.16%
Kelly -1.61%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.61

博彩公司預測分布
25.82%26.60%26.54%27.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.353.483.503.6129.85%28.75%28.57%27.70%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Alverca (主隊):20.61%;Braga (客隊):52.85%;和局:26.54%。 對於「Alverca (主隊)」,該估計相當於4.85的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為4.90,對應+0.983%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (57 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
Tipico (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV +0.983%E +0.201%K +0.252%G +0.002%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.42%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:25
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.84%EV -2.11%E -0.444%K -0.562%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.24%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.92%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 21:05
Pinnacle🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.23%EV -3.14%E -0.668%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.42%EV -5.92%E -3.33%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.34%EV -4.20%E -1.16%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 23:45
GTbets🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -3.14%E -0.668%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.68%EV -5.39%E -3.01%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.25%EV -8.18%E -2.36%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 21:09
Bovada🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.19%EV -4.17%E -0.897%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.35%EV -6.98%E -3.96%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.45%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 23:39
NordicBet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -4.17%E -0.897%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 07:25
Betsson🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.90%EV -4.17%E -0.897%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.88%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 07:25
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -5.20%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.87%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:55
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.41%EV -5.20%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -5.92%E -3.33%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 20:59
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.20%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 04:00
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.20%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 04:00
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.20%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 04:00
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.20%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 04:00
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.20%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 04:00
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.20%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 04:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.20%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 07:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.20%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:00
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.20%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.18%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 08:00
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -5.20%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -11.10%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 09:50
Marathon Bet🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -6.23%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.00%EV -6.98%E -3.96%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.59%E -1.87%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.13%EV -6.23%E -1.37%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.56%EV -9.62%E -5.63%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.32%EV -7.65%E -2.20%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 21:00
DraftKings🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -7.26%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.86%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -5.79%E -1.63%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 00:15
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -7.26%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.51%E -4.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 07:25
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -7.26%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 20:59
LowVig.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -7.26%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.80%EV -6.98%E -3.96%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 08:14
BetOnline.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -7.26%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.80%EV -6.98%E -3.96%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 08:15
BetUS🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.65%EV -7.26%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.80%EV -6.98%E -3.96%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 08:15
betano_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -7.26%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -8.56%E -4.95%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 23:40
Bet Victor🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -7.26%E -1.61%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.82%EV -8.56%E -4.95%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 23:39
Unibet (FR)🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.05%EV -8.29%E -1.86%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 54.08%EV -12.79%E -7.75%K -19.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-03 21:00
Coolbet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.61%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -3.28%E -1.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.47%E -1.24%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 23:45
Betr (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -3.81%E -2.09%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 23:45
888sport🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 00:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 00:15
888sport (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 00:15
William Hill🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.59%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 00:15
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.08%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.45%E -3.64%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 23:43
BetRivers🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -10.15%E -5.97%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 04:00
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -10.15%E -5.97%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 04:00
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.22%EV -10.15%E -5.97%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -8.45%E -2.45%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 03:59
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -10.15%E -5.97%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 03:59
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -10.15%E -5.97%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 04:00
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.48%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.01%EV -10.15%E -5.97%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 04:00
NetBet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -9.32%E -2.12%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.80%EV -10.15%E -5.97%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV -11.10%E -3.31%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 06:35
Virgin Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -10.35%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.18%EV -11.20%E -6.67%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 04:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -10.35%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.18%EV -11.20%E -6.67%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 03:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.54%EV -10.35%E -2.38%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.18%EV -11.20%E -6.67%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 04:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -10.76%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 23:44
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -10.76%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 23:43
BoyleSports🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -10.76%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.56%E -4.95%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 23:44
SportsBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -11.38%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 23:42
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -11.38%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.16%EV -10.15%E -5.97%K -14.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 21:00
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -12.41%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -4.33%E -2.39%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 23:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -12.41%E -2.92%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.12%E -2.03%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 23:45
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.44%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 23:44
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -13.44%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -4.86%E -2.70%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-03 23:45
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -13.44%E -3.20%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.80%EV -11.20%E -6.67%K -16.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.77%E -2.87%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 20:59
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.7%2026-09-04 14:00
Matchbook◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.27%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.42%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.7%2026-09-04 14:10
Kalshi◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.88%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Smarkets◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.45%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%2.8%2026-09-04 14:20