Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.00
assuming max odds 2.79
assuming max odds 3.15
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Académico de Viseu (Local): 33.83%; Santa Clara (Visit): 35.02%; Draw: 31.15%. For Académico de Viseu (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.50%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV +1.50%E +0.500%K +0.750%G +0.011% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -14.20%E -5.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 15:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -2.56%E -0.889%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -10.70%E -4.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -2.56%E -0.889%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -10.70%E -4.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -2.56%E -0.889%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -10.70%E -4.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -2.56%E -0.889%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -10.70%E -4.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -2.56%E -0.889%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -10.70%E -4.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -2.56%E -0.889%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -10.70%E -4.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -2.56%E -0.889%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -10.70%E -4.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -2.56%E -0.889%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -10.70%E -4.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -2.90%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.26%EV -8.25%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 16:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -7.20%E -2.72%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -5.45%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.66%EV -4.25%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.41%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.93%EV -4.07%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.31%EV -4.59%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.68%EV -2.29%E -0.822%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.01%EV -2.82%E -0.905%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -3.70%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -8.95%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -8.95%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -8.95%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 16:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.95%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.29%EV -13.15%E -5.30%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.58%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.29%EV -13.15%E -5.30%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.58%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.29%EV -13.15%E -5.30%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.58%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV -5.45%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -1.89%E -0.599%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -3.70%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.00%E -1.64%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -5.45%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.12%E -2.75%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -5.45%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.67%E -3.34%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -5.45%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.67%E -3.34%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.83%EV -7.20%E -2.72%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -9.05%E -3.10%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 16:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.83%EV -7.20%E -2.72%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -9.05%E -3.10%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 16:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.53%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.08%EV -13.15%E -5.30%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.53%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.08%EV -13.15%E -5.30%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.53%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.08%EV -13.15%E -5.30%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.28%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.41%EV -4.40%E -1.61%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.14%EV -7.63%E -2.80%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -4.75%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.12%E -2.75%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.45%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -7.20%E -2.72%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -7.90%E -3.00%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.45%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.45%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.20%E -2.72%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -5.00%E -1.64%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -7.90%E -3.00%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -10.30%E -3.58%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -10.70%E -4.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -8.12%E -2.75%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.86%EV -9.33%E -3.48%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.17%EV -9.65%E -3.74%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.97%EV -8.74%E -2.98%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 16:43 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.74%EV -9.66%E -3.62%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -8.95%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.45%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.45%EV -12.45%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.10%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.36%E -4.33%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.25%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.54% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.24% | 0.1% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.40% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.40% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.83% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.30% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |