Idioma:Español
Académico de Viseu v Santa Clara
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Académico de Viseu (Local)
Predicción 33.83%2.96momio equitativo
EV +1.50%
Ventaja +0.500%
Kelly +0.750%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.33%33.63%33.85%34.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.622.782.753.0038.17%35.98%36.36%33.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Santa Clara (Visitante)
Predicción 35.02%2.86momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -0.822%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.27%35.26%35.05%38.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.612.612.7940.82%38.29%38.31%35.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.15%3.21momio equitativo
EV -1.89%
Ventaja -0.599%
Kelly -0.878%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.06%31.11%31.10%32.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.852.983.003.1535.09%33.50%33.33%31.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Académico de Viseu (Local): 33.83%; Santa Clara (Visitante): 35.02%; Empate: 31.15%. Para Académico de Viseu (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.96. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.50%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV +1.50%E +0.500%K +0.750%G +0.011% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -14.20%E -5.80%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 15:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -2.56%E -0.889%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -10.70%E -4.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -2.56%E -0.889%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -10.70%E -4.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -2.56%E -0.889%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -10.70%E -4.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -2.56%E -0.889%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -10.70%E -4.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -2.56%E -0.889%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -10.70%E -4.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -2.56%E -0.889%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -10.70%E -4.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -2.56%E -0.889%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -10.70%E -4.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -2.56%E -0.889%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -10.70%E -4.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -2.90%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.26%EV -8.25%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 16:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.91%EV -7.20%E -2.72%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -3.57%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -5.45%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.66%EV -4.25%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.41%EV -5.80%E -2.15%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.93%EV -4.07%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.31%EV -4.59%E -1.63%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.68%EV -2.29%E -0.822%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.01%EV -2.82%E -0.905%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -3.70%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -8.95%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -8.95%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -8.95%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 16:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -8.95%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.29%EV -13.15%E -5.30%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.58%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.29%EV -13.15%E -5.30%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.58%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -5.27%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.29%EV -13.15%E -5.30%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.58%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV -5.45%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -1.89%E -0.599%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.46%EV -3.70%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.07%EV -5.00%E -1.64%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -5.45%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.12%E -2.75%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -5.45%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.67%E -3.34%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -5.45%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -9.67%E -3.34%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 16:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.83%EV -7.20%E -2.72%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -9.05%E -3.10%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 16:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.56%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.83%EV -7.20%E -2.72%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.61%EV -9.05%E -3.10%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 16:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.53%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.08%EV -13.15%E -5.30%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.53%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.08%EV -13.15%E -5.30%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.53%EV -6.96%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.08%EV -13.15%E -5.30%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.28%EV -7.30%E -2.66%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.41%EV -4.40%E -1.61%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.31%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.14%EV -7.63%E -2.80%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -4.75%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -8.12%E -2.75%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -5.45%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.60%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.26%EV -7.20%E -2.72%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -7.90%E -3.00%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.45%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -5.45%E -2.02%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -7.20%E -2.72%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -5.00%E -1.64%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.74%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -7.90%E -3.00%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.63%EV -10.30%E -3.58%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -8.65%E -3.20%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -10.70%E -4.20%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -8.12%E -2.75%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 33.86%EV -9.33%E -3.48%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.17%EV -9.65%E -3.74%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.97%EV -8.74%E -2.98%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 16:43 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.74%EV -9.66%E -3.62%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -8.95%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-15 16:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.45%EV -10.34%E -3.90%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.45%EV -12.45%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.10%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-15 16:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -11.36%E -4.33%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.25%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 16:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.54% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.23% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.24% | 0.1% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.40% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.40% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.08% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.83% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.30% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 16:55 |