Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zagłębie Lubin v Śląsk Wrocław

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 12:45 UTC

Final: Zagłębie Lubin 2–1 Śląsk Wrocław

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zagłębie Lubin (Local)

Prediction 42.74%2.34fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -3.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.46%42.75%42.75%43.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.152.2548.78%46.50%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Śląsk Wrocław (Visit)

Prediction 28.48%3.51fair odd
EV -0.327%
Edge -0.093%
Kelly -0.131%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.16%28.39%28.49%30.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.5033.33%31.14%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.78%3.47fair odd
EV +0.728%
Edge +0.208%
Kelly +0.291%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.14%28.86%28.75%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.173.153.5035.71%31.59%31.75%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zagłębie Lubin (Local): 42.74%; Śląsk Wrocław (Visit): 28.48%; Draw: 28.78%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.728%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.98%EV -5.54%E -2.51%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.87%EV -9.44%E -2.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV +0.728%E +0.208%K +0.291%G +0.002%5.3%2026-08-15 12:39
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV +0.728%E +0.208%K +0.291%G +0.002%5.3%2026-08-15 12:40
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.15%E -0.632%K -0.896%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 12:34
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.76%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -0.327%E -0.093%K -0.131%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.74%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 12:34
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 12:29
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 12:34
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 12:39
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 12:39
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 12:19
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 12:14
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 12:40
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.17%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 12:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.25%E -3.34%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -6.59%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 12:38
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 12:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.17%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 12:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -7.25%E -3.34%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 12:19
Bovada🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -8.53%E -3.99%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-15 12:39
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 12:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 12:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 12:39
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 12:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 12:35
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 12:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -1.75%E -0.508%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 12:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -1.75%E -0.508%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 12:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 12:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 12:24
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 12:24
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 12:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 12:24
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 12:24
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 12:24
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 12:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 12:24
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 12:14
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 12:14
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-15 12:39
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 12:40
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 12:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -12.38%E -6.04%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 12:19
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -12.38%E -6.04%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-15 12:24
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.23%EV -9.39%E -4.43%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -12.22%E -4.01%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 12:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -12.38%E -6.04%K -11.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -13.14%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -12.22%E -4.01%K -5.96%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-15 12:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 12:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 12:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-15 12:24
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 12:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.41%EV -11.10%E -5.33%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.18%EV -10.86%E -3.47%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-15 12:29
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -17.98%E -6.31%K -9.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 12:14
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -19.42%E -6.93%K -10.79%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 12:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10%1.1%2026-08-15 12:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-08-15 12:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-08-15 12:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%1.5%2026-08-15 12:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41%2.1%2026-08-15 12:35
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.88%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%2.3%2026-08-15 12:35