Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Zagłębie Lubin (Local): 42.74%; Śląsk Wrocław (Visitante): 28.48%; Empate: 28.78%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.47. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.728%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.98%EV -5.54%E -2.51%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.87%EV -9.44%E -2.97%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV +0.728%E +0.208%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV +0.728%E +0.208%K +0.291%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 12:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -2.15%E -0.632%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 12:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.76%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -0.327%E -0.093%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.74%EV -3.59%E -1.07%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 12:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 12:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 12:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -5.03%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 12:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -6.47%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 12:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.17%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.25%E -3.34%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.28%EV -6.59%E -2.01%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 12:38 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 12:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -3.17%E -0.934%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 12:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.44%EV -7.25%E -3.34%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -8.53%E -3.99%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 12:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 12:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -7.91%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 12:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -1.75%E -0.508%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 12:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -1.75%E -0.508%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 12:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 12:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 12:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 12:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 12:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 12:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 12:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 12:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 12:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 12:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 12:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.87%E -2.77%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 12:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -14.57%E -4.86%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.34%E -2.97%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.10%E -3.77%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 12:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -12.38%E -6.04%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -12.38%E -6.04%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.47%EV -10.78%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-15 12:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.23%EV -9.39%E -4.43%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.35%EV -12.22%E -4.01%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 12:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.66%EV -12.38%E -6.04%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -13.14%E -4.31%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -12.22%E -4.01%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 12:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 12:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 12:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.25%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -10.29%E -3.27%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-15 12:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.24%E -4.88%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.72%E -3.78%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.41%EV -11.10%E -5.33%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.18%EV -10.86%E -3.47%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -13.66%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-15 12:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -3.83%E -1.70%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -17.98%E -6.31%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 12:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -5.97%E -2.71%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -7.45%E -2.29%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -19.42%E -6.93%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 12:14 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.10% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 12:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.84% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.75% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 12:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.15% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.1% | 2026-08-15 12:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.88% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.93% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 2.3% | 2026-08-15 12:35 |