The School of Odds

Zagłębie Lubin v Piast Gliwice

2026-07-27 17:00 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Zagłębie Lubin (Local)

Prediction 32.33%3.09fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.10%32.19%32.32%32.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.552.812.842.9539%36%35%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Piast Gliwice (Visit)

Prediction 38.14%2.62fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.70%38.03%38.13%39.08%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.202.382.402.5145%42%42%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 29.52%3.39fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -0.779%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.70%29.78%29.55%32.19%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.853.093.103.3035%32%32%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -4.62%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -2.57%E -0.779%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-20 18:55
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -4.62%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -4.64%E -1.86%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -15.86%E -5.56%K -8.57%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-21 07:15
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-20 18:55
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.23%E -2.15%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 19:05
Pinnacle2.89I 34.60%NM 32.80%EV -6.56%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.76%EV -4.26%E -1.70%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.44%EV -4.93%E -1.53%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-21 02:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -4.05%E -1.25%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-21 02:30
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.06%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.15%EV -7.69%E -3.18%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-20 19:05
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.06%EV -6.88%E -2.39%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.15%EV -7.69%E -3.18%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.79%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-20 19:04
SportsBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -7.85%E -2.75%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -10.36%E -4.41%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 18:55
Marathon Bet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.64%EV -8.17%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.84%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -7.30%E -2.32%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 01:55
1xBet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.64%EV -8.17%E -2.88%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.84%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -7.30%E -2.32%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 02:05
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.52%E -1.73%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 19:05
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.08%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.29%EV -7.89%E -2.53%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 00:22
betano_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.08%EV -8.46%E -3.52%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.29%EV -7.89%E -2.53%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-21 00:25
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 18:55
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 18:55
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.55%E -2.67%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 18:55
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.47%E -3.38%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -12.27%E -5.33%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.48%E -2.73%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-20 18:54
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -12.70%E -4.70%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -14.18%E -6.30%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-20 18:55
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.83%EV -12.70%E -4.70%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 38.54%EV -14.94%E -6.70%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.63%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%16.4%2026-07-20 19:05
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.67%EV -14.32%E -5.40%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.48%EV -14.18%E -6.30%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.86%EV -11.43%E -3.81%K -5.71%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-20 19:05
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 32.91%EV -17.55%E -6.88%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.15%EV -16.08%E -7.31%K -13.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.94%EV -14.38%E -4.96%K -7.57%G +0.000%19.2%2026-07-20 19:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 32.13%2.34I 42.74%NM 37.90%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.96%12.8%2026-07-20 19:05