Language:English
Zagłębie Lubin v Piast Gliwice
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zagłębie Lubin (Local)
Prediction 35.92%2.78fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.43%35.94%35.98%37.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.432.562.552.7041.15%39.06%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Piast Gliwice (Visit)
Prediction 34.38%2.91fair odd
EV +0.395%
Edge +0.135%
Kelly +0.206%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.97%34.34%34.44%35.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.672.682.9240.00%37.40%37.31%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.70%3.37fair odd
EV +0.670%
Edge +0.198%
Kelly +0.281%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.02%29.73%29.58%30.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.083.103.3934.48%32.48%32.26%29.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zagłębie Lubin (Local): 35.92%; Piast Gliwice (Visit): 34.38%; Draw: 29.70%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.39, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.670%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.69%EV -9.48%E -3.76%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.29%EV -4.76%E -1.72%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.02%EV +0.670%E +0.198%K +0.281%G +0.002% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.65%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.03%EV -3.73%E -1.33%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.32%EV -3.49%E -1.07%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-27 16:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.78%EV -3.37%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.13%EV -3.04%E -1.08%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.08%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 16:56 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -7.17%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.20%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.61%E -4.08%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -4.97%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-27 16:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.47%EV -5.17%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.97%EV +0.395%E +0.135%K +0.206%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.56%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 16:21 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.47%EV -5.17%E -1.96%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.97%EV +0.395%E +0.135%K +0.206%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.56%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 16:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -4.81%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -5.45%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 16:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.45%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -7.32%E -2.84%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.61%EV -7.86%E -2.93%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-27 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.95%EV -7.32%E -2.84%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.61%EV -7.86%E -2.93%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.44%EV -6.46%E -2.05%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-27 16:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -4.81%E -1.81%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.45%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -5.53%E -2.10%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -7.17%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -5.53%E -2.10%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -7.17%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 16:46 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -5.53%E -2.10%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -7.17%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -5.53%E -2.10%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -7.17%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -5.53%E -2.10%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -7.17%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -5.53%E -2.10%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -7.17%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -5.53%E -2.10%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -7.17%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 16:46 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -5.53%E -2.10%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.51%EV -7.17%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.06%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 16:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.17%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-27 16:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -10.20%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.45%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-27 16:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -8.89%E -3.35%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-27 16:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -10.20%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.17%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-27 16:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.92%E -3.79%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-27 16:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.81%EV -9.92%E -3.79%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-27 16:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.20%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.92%E -3.79%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.20%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.92%E -3.79%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.20%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.92%E -3.79%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.20%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -14.05%E -5.62%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-27 16:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.35%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.92%EV -12.33%E -4.83%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -7.94%E -2.56%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.07%EV -6.48%E -2.38%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.29%EV -9.13%E -2.98%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-27 16:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -3.01%E -1.12%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -8.89%E -3.35%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.48%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 16:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.74%EV -7.32%E -2.84%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.03%EV -6.83%E -2.52%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.63%EV -8.89%E -3.35%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -7.17%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -9.43%E -3.09%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-27 16:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.40%EV -12.71%E -5.23%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.41%EV -11.64%E -4.53%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.19%EV -10.02%E -3.31%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-27 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.17%E -2.66%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-27 16:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -5.45%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-27 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -10.20%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.45%E -1.98%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-27 16:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -9.58%E -3.64%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-27 16:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.02%EV -6.60%E -2.54%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.62%EV -9.58%E -3.64%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -8.89%E -3.35%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-27 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.47%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.39%EV -9.58%E -3.64%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.15%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-27 16:46 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -8.40%E -3.29%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -10.61%E -4.08%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-27 16:46 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.20%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -9.92%E -3.79%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-27 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.20%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.61%E -4.08%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-27 16:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -10.20%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.61%E -4.08%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-27 16:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.73%EV -8.89%E -3.35%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-27 16:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.00%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -12.33%E -4.83%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -10.91%E -3.64%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-27 16:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.58%EV -11.99%E -4.89%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -14.05%E -5.62%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -12.40%E -4.20%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-07-27 16:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -10.20%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -9.58%E -3.64%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-07-27 16:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -10.20%E -4.08%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.49%EV -12.33%E -4.83%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -13.88%E -4.79%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.62% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.16% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.22% | 0.3% | 2026-07-27 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.78% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.07% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 0.5% | 2026-07-27 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.78% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.07% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 0.5% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.78% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.07% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 0.5% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.54% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.07% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.40% | 1.2% | 2026-07-27 16:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.92% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.02% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.06% | 3.0% | 2026-07-27 16:20 |