La escuela de los momios

Zagłębie Lubin v Piast Gliwice

2026-07-27 17:00 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Zagłębie Lubin (Local)

Predicción 32.99%3.03momio equitativo
EV -4.32%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -2.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.99%32.98%33.01%34.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.782.802.9039.22%35.92%35.71%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Piast Gliwice (Visitante)

Predicción 37.46%2.67momio equitativo
EV -4.46%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -2.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.01%37.41%37.48%38.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.452.452.5544.44%40.85%40.82%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.54%3.38momio equitativo
EV -3.99%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -1.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.49%29.61%29.51%30.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.073.053.2534.48%32.58%32.79%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -4.32%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.23%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 01:04
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -4.98%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.39%EV -7.09%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 00:35
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -4.98%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.39%EV -7.09%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 00:35
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -4.98%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.39%EV -7.09%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 00:35
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -4.98%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.39%EV -7.09%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 00:35
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -4.98%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.39%EV -7.09%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 00:35
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -4.98%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.39%EV -7.09%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 00:35
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -4.98%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.39%EV -7.09%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 00:35
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -4.98%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.39%EV -7.09%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 00:35
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 32.20%EV -4.98%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.39%EV -7.09%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 00:35
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.04%EV -5.31%E -1.85%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.33%EV -4.84%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.63%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 18:35
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.00%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 12:15
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 18:30
BetMGM2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-25 06:58
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -5.97%E -2.10%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -8.96%E -3.69%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-22 00:35
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 32.70%EV -6.30%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -5.59%E -2.22%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 00:24
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 32.70%EV -6.30%E -2.22%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -5.59%E -2.22%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 00:25
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -6.96%E -2.47%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 06:09
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.83%EV -6.96%E -2.47%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -6.94%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 06:10
Marathon Bet2.81I 35.59%NM 32.98%EV -7.29%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.51%EV -7.46%E -3.02%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.51%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 18:30
1xBet2.81I 35.59%NM 32.98%EV -7.29%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.51%EV -7.46%E -3.02%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.51%EV -7.24%E -2.30%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 18:30
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 00:24
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 33.04%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.31%EV -7.09%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.65%EV -7.83%E -2.51%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 18:29
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 33.04%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.31%EV -7.09%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.65%EV -7.83%E -2.51%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 18:30
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 18:30
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 18:30
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-22 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-22 00:35
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -7.62%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.64%EV -10.83%E -4.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -12.85%E -4.36%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-22 00:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 00:24
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 00:24
Tipico (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 07:50
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -5.46%E -1.71%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 08:00
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-26 00:34
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 18:29
betano_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 18:30
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 18:30
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -9.90%E -3.24%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 06:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 16:00
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.27%E -3.37%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-25 16:00
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 00:25
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -6.34%E -2.54%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 00:24
Betclic (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.73%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.10%EV -13.08%E -5.64%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.17%EV -10.49%E -3.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-25 17:04
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.31%EV -10.92%E -4.04%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.60%EV -13.08%E -5.64%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.08%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-22 00:35
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -12.57%E -4.74%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -11.96%E -5.09%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-25 06:10
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -12.57%E -4.74%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.96%EV -13.83%E -6.01%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-25 06:10
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -13.23%E -5.03%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-26 00:24
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.62%EV -13.56%E -5.18%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -10.83%E -4.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.36%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-22 08:55
NetBet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.47%EV -14.22%E -5.47%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.51%EV -13.08%E -5.64%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-26 07:59
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 33.52%EV -15.87%E -6.22%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.99%EV -15.70%E -6.98%K -12.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.49%EV -11.37%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%17.0%2026-07-25 06:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.01%4.0%2026-07-26 08:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 33.54%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.52%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.94%4.3%2026-07-26 07:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 33.54%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.52%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.94%4.3%2026-07-26 08:05
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 33.60%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.61%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%4.8%2026-07-26 07:20