Language:English
Zagłębie Lubin v Cracovia Kraków
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zagłębie Lubin (Local)
Prediction 30.76%3.25fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.586%
Kelly -0.853%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.70%30.94%30.74%34.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.882.903.1939.22%34.76%34.48%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cracovia Kraków (Visit)
Prediction 37.47%2.67fair odd
EV +3.03%
Edge +1.10%
Kelly +1.73%
Growth +0.053%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.07%37.30%37.46%38.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.512.492.7544.44%39.85%40.24%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.77%3.15fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.486%
Kelly -0.718%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.38%31.76%31.80%33.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.902.903.1037.04%34.53%34.48%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zagłębie Lubin (Local): 30.76%; Cracovia Kraków (Visit): 37.47%; Draw: 31.77%. For Cracovia Kraków (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV +3.03%E +1.10%K +1.73%G +0.053% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV +3.03%E +1.10%K +1.73%G +0.053% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV +3.03%E +1.10%K +1.73%G +0.053% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV +3.03%E +1.10%K +1.73%G +0.053% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV +1.16%E +0.429%K +0.682%G +0.008% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV +1.16%E +0.429%K +0.682%G +0.008% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV +1.16%E +0.429%K +0.682%G +0.008% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV +1.16%E +0.429%K +0.682%G +0.008% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV +1.16%E +0.429%K +0.682%G +0.008% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -18.48%E -6.97%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -0.715%E -0.270%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.40%EV -19.10%E -7.26%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.40%EV -1.46%E -0.557%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.20%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.40%EV -19.10%E -7.26%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.40%EV -1.46%E -0.557%K -0.898%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.20%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -20.02%E -7.70%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -2.59%E -0.995%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.10%EV -8.50%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -21.56%E -8.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -2.59%E -0.995%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.12%EV -9.45%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -6.18%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.82%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -7.23%E -2.47%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 12:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -6.18%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.82%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -7.23%E -2.47%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-03 12:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.17%EV -1.87%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.74%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.08%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -1.51%E -0.486%K -0.718%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 12:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.36%EV -21.56%E -8.45%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.36%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.29%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -3.10%E -0.984%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.63%EV -5.59%E -2.22%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.64%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 12:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -4.64%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-03 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -6.18%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 12:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.64%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -12.63%E -4.59%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 12:41 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 30.98%EV -8.02%E -2.68%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.20%EV -6.71%E -2.69%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -7.54%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 12:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.21%EV -7.08%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -8.50%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 12:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.21%EV -7.08%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -8.50%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 12:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.18%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.36%EV -7.46%E -3.02%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -9.45%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-03 12:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.17%EV -7.46%E -3.02%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -9.45%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-03 12:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-03 12:31 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -6.18%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.50%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 12:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 12:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.45%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-03 12:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -11.40%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 12:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.50%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 12:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 12:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -12.33%E -4.33%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-03 12:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -13.87%E -4.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-03 12:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -12.63%E -4.59%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-03 12:31 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -11.40%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -10.83%E -4.55%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -8.50%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 12:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -11.21%E -4.73%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -8.82%E -3.07%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 12:31 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -11.21%E -4.73%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -8.82%E -3.07%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-03 12:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -11.95%E -5.09%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-05-03 12:41 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.66%EV -11.95%E -5.09%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 31.83%EV -11.67%E -4.20%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-03 12:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -13.87%E -4.95%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -11.95%E -5.09%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-03 12:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.03%EV -14.79%E -5.34%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.37%EV -13.83%E -6.01%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.60%EV -13.58%E -4.99%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-05-03 12:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -11.40%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -15.70%E -6.98%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -14.22%E -5.27%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-03 12:31 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.18% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.16% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.66% | 0.4% | 2026-05-03 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.82% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 12:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.82% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 12:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.82% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59% | 0.6% | 2026-05-03 12:41 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.63% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.66% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 12:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.62% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.71% | 1.9% | 2026-05-03 12:40 |