L’École des cotes

Zagłębie Lubin v Cracovia Kraków

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 12:45 UTC

Score final : Zagłębie Lubin 0–0 Cracovia Kraków

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zagłębie Lubin (Local)

Prévision 30.76%3.25cote équitable
EV -1.87%
Avantage -0.586%
Kelly -0.853%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.70%30.94%30.74%34.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.882.903.1939.22%34.76%34.48%31.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cracovia Kraków (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.47%2.67cote équitable
EV +3.03%
Avantage +1.10%
Kelly +1.73%
Croissance +0.053%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.07%37.30%37.46%38.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.512.492.7544.44%39.85%40.24%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.77%3.15cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -0.486%
Kelly -0.718%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.38%31.76%31.80%33.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.902.903.1037.04%34.53%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV +3.03%E +1.10%K +1.73%G +0.053%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 12:25
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV +3.03%E +1.10%K +1.73%G +0.053%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 12:25
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV +3.03%E +1.10%K +1.73%G +0.053%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 12:25
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV +3.03%E +1.10%K +1.73%G +0.053%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 12:25
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV +1.16%E +0.429%K +0.682%G +0.008%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 12:25
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV +1.16%E +0.429%K +0.682%G +0.008%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 12:25
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV +1.16%E +0.429%K +0.682%G +0.008%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 12:25
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV +1.16%E +0.429%K +0.682%G +0.008%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 12:25
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV -16.94%E -6.27%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.30%EV +1.16%E +0.429%K +0.682%G +0.008%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 12:25
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -18.48%E -6.97%K -11.20%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.50%EV -0.715%E -0.270%K -0.433%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 12:25
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.40%EV -19.10%E -7.26%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.40%EV -1.46%E -0.557%K -0.898%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.20%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.40%EV -19.10%E -7.26%K -11.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.40%EV -1.46%E -0.557%K -0.898%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.20%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-03 12:25
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -20.02%E -7.70%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.45%EV -2.59%E -0.995%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.10%EV -8.50%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 12:25
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -21.56%E -8.45%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -2.59%E -0.995%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.12%EV -9.45%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-03 12:25
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -6.18%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.82%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -7.23%E -2.47%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 12:30
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -6.18%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.82%EV -4.09%E -1.60%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -7.23%E -2.47%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-03 12:30
Pinnacle3.19I 31.35%NM 30.17%EV -1.87%E -0.586%K -0.853%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.74%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.08%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 12:35
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.80%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.42%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.78%EV -1.51%E -0.486%K -0.718%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 12:20
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.36%EV -21.56%E -8.45%K -13.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.36%EV -4.46%E -1.75%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.29%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-03 12:25
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -3.10%E -0.984%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.63%EV -5.59%E -2.22%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -6.59%E -2.24%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-03 12:35
DraftKings3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -4.64%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 12:25
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -4.64%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 12:30
Unibet (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -6.18%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 12:40
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -4.64%E -1.50%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.33%E -2.53%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -12.63%E -4.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 12:41
Marathon Bet2.99I 33.44%NM 30.98%EV -8.02%E -2.68%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.20%EV -6.71%E -2.69%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.83%EV -7.54%E -2.59%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 12:40
NordicBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.21%EV -7.08%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -8.50%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 12:40
Betsson3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.21%EV -7.08%E -2.86%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -8.50%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 12:40
Bovada3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -6.18%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.36%EV -7.46%E -3.02%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -9.45%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 12:39
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.17%EV -7.46%E -3.02%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -9.45%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 12:40
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 12:31
BetUS3.05I 32.79%NM 30.27%EV -6.18%E -2.02%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.68%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -8.50%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 12:35
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 12:30
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 12:30
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -8.21%E -3.35%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.45%E -3.32%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 12:35
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 12:15
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -11.40%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -4.69%E -1.56%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 12:20
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -8.50%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 12:38
Winamax (DE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 12:40
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -12.33%E -4.33%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -6.27%E -2.13%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 12:20
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.71%E -2.57%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 12:30
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -13.87%E -4.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -7.86%E -2.71%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 12:20
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -10.08%E -4.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -12.63%E -4.59%K -7.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-03 12:31
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -11.40%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -10.83%E -4.55%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -8.50%E -2.95%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 12:14
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -11.21%E -4.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -8.82%E -3.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 12:31
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.84%EV -11.21%E -4.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -8.82%E -3.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 12:30
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.58%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.74%EV -11.95%E -5.09%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-03 12:41
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.51%EV -10.79%E -3.72%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.66%EV -11.95%E -5.09%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.83%EV -11.67%E -4.20%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-03 12:40
Winamax (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -13.87%E -4.95%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -11.95%E -5.09%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -11.04%E -3.94%K -6.13%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-03 12:40
NetBet (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 31.03%EV -14.79%E -5.34%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.37%EV -13.83%E -6.01%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.60%EV -13.58%E -4.99%K -7.90%G +0.000%16.3%2026-05-03 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -11.40%E -3.96%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -15.70%E -6.98%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -14.22%E -5.27%K -8.36%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-03 12:31
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.18%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.16%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.66%0.4%2026-05-03 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59%0.6%2026-05-03 12:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59%0.6%2026-05-03 12:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.82%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59%0.6%2026-05-03 12:41
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.72%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.66%1.1%2026-05-03 12:35
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.62%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.71%1.9%2026-05-03 12:40