The School of Odds
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Wisła Płock v Lech Poznań

2026-08-15 15:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wisła Płock (Local)

Prediction 25.71%3.89fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.472%
Kelly -0.639%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.77%25.69%25.72%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.523.503.8230.77%28.41%28.57%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lech Poznań (Visit)

Prediction 48.49%2.06fair odd
EV -6.42%
Edge -3.33%
Kelly -6.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.81%48.66%48.24%49.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.901.9355.56%53.25%52.63%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.81%3.87fair odd
EV -0.643%
Edge -0.167%
Kelly -0.226%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.46%25.65%26.04%26.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.563.553.8530.30%28.06%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Wisła Płock (Local): 25.71%; Lech Poznań (Visit): 48.49%; Draw: 25.81%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.87. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.85, with an expected value of -0.643%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.82I 26.18%NM 24.77%EV -1.80%E -0.472%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.80%EV -7.88%E -4.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.43%EV -4.00%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 21:30
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.53%EV -3.60%E -0.960%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.60%EV -6.42%E -3.33%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.87%EV -0.643%E -0.167%K -0.226%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 21:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -8.38%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 21:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -8.38%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.32%EV -7.88%E -4.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -1.93%E -0.509%K -0.690%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 21:19
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -9.33%E -4.99%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -1.93%E -0.509%K -0.690%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-09 21:25
NordicBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.91%E -3.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.38%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 20:05
Betsson🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.46%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -6.91%E -3.60%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.38%E -2.36%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 20:05
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 21:29
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.88%E -4.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-09 21:19
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -9.33%E -4.99%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -4.51%E -1.22%K -1.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.39%E -3.87%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-09 20:04
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -7.88%E -4.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 21:20
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -7.88%E -4.14%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.68%E -2.76%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 21:20
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.03%E -2.87%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -10.30%E -5.57%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -7.09%E -1.97%K -2.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 21:22
Betclic (FR)🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 25.59%EV -11.83%E -3.45%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.22%EV -11.75%E -6.46%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -13.55%E -4.04%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-09 20:14
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -12.60%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.20%EV -12.72%E -7.07%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -14.84%E -4.50%K -6.45%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-09 20:04
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.17%E -4.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -10.78%E -5.86%K -12.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -10.97%E -3.18%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-09 20:05
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -16.45%E -5.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -12.72%E -7.07%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -12.26%E -3.60%K -5.11%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-09 21:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -16.45%E -5.06%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -12.72%E -7.07%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -12.26%E -3.60%K -5.11%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-09 20:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.