語言:繁體中文
Wisła Płock v Lech Poznań
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Wisła Płock (主隊)
預測 24.39%4.10公平賠率
EV +7.34%
優勢 +1.67%
Kelly +2.16%
成長率 +0.158%
假設最高賠率為 4.40
博彩公司預測分布
20.92%24.38%24.42%26.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.253.773.804.4030.77%26.51%26.32%22.73%最小值平均值中位數最大值
Lech Poznań (客隊)
預測 50.26%1.99公平賠率
EV -3.50%
優勢 -1.82%
Kelly -3.80%
成長率 +0.000%
假設最高賠率為 1.92
博彩公司預測分布
47.81%50.39%49.93%53.16%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.671.801.801.9259.88%55.45%55.56%52.08%最小值平均值中位數最大值
和局
預測 25.34%3.95公平賠率
EV +1.37%
優勢 +0.343%
Kelly +0.457%
成長率 +0.006%
假設最高賠率為 4.00
博彩公司預測分布
23.51%25.24%25.65%27.10%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.303.643.604.0030.30%27.45%27.78%25.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Wisła Płock (主隊)：24.39%；Lech Poznań (客隊)：50.26%；和局：25.34%。 對於「Wisła Płock (主隊)」，該估計相當於4.10的公平十進位賠率。 當時有2家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為4.40，對應+7.34%的正期望值。
博彩公司賠率 (27 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 ▼ | 客隊 | 和局 | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV +7.34%E +1.67%K +2.16%G +0.158% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -11.04%E -6.23%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-10 06:37 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.47%EV +4.90%E +1.14%K +1.48%G +0.073% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -11.04%E -6.23%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-10 15:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV -2.42%E -0.605%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.53%E -5.29%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%EV +1.37%E +0.343%K +0.457%G +0.006% | 5.6% | 2026-08-10 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -2.42%E -0.605%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -12.04%E -6.88%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -1.16%E -0.298%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 15:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -2.42%E -0.605%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -12.54%E -7.21%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -1.16%E -0.298%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-10 15:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -2.42%E -0.605%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -13.05%E -7.54%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-10 15:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -2.42%E -0.605%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -13.05%E -7.54%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-10 15:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -2.42%E -0.605%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -13.05%E -7.54%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -4.96%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-10 08:51 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -6.01%E -3.21%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-10 05:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -13.05%E -7.54%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -1.16%E -0.298%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-10 18:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -4.86%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -13.05%E -7.54%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -1.16%E -0.298%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-10 19:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.80%EV -7.06%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.73%EV -4.50%E -2.37%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.47%EV -5.98%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 05:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.53%E -5.29%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-10 13:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.53%E -5.29%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-10 13:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -7.30%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.53%E -5.29%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -3.70%E -0.973%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-10 13:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -8.52%E -2.27%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.38%EV -16.06%E -9.62%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-11 15:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.95%EV -5.00%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-10 04:33 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -10.96%E -3.00%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.95%EV -5.00%E -2.65%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-10 04:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -3.50%E -1.82%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.03%E -2.83%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 20:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -3.50%E -1.82%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.03%E -2.83%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 20:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -12.18%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.52%EV -16.06%E -9.62%K -23.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-08-10 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -14.62%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 21:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -14.62%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -4.00%E -2.09%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.30%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-09 20:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 25.59%EV -16.33%E -4.76%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.22%EV -8.52%E -4.68%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -15.10%E -4.51%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-09 20:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.52%EV -17.06%E -5.02%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.20%EV -9.53%E -5.29%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -16.37%E -4.96%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-09 20:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -19.50%E -5.91%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -7.52%E -4.09%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -12.57%E -3.64%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-09 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.59%EV -20.72%E -6.37%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.00%EV -9.53%E -5.29%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.41%EV -13.83%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-08-09 20:05 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 和局 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.94% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33% | 197.0% | 2026-08-11 16:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33% | 197.0% | 2026-08-11 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33% | 197.0% | 2026-08-11 16:09 |