Language:English
Wisła Płock v Korona Kielce
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wisła Płock (Local)
Prediction 37.28%2.68fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.87%37.26%37.29%38.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.472.482.6043.10%40.43%40.32%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Korona Kielce (Visit)
Prediction 33.83%2.96fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.417%
Kelly -0.634%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.19%33.75%33.87%34.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.702.702.9239.22%37.08%37.04%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.89%3.46fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.521%
Kelly -0.738%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.87%28.99%28.84%31.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.143.153.4034.48%31.86%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wisła Płock (Local): 37.28%; Korona Kielce (Visit): 33.83%; Draw: 28.89%. For Korona Kielce (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.92, with an expected value of -1.22%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.17%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.20%EV -1.89%E -0.653%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -4.94%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.28%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 15:31 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.94%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -6.06%E -2.40%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.35%E -3.91%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -8.99%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -6.06%E -2.40%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.35%E -3.91%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -8.99%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 15:36 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -5.28%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -1.77%E -0.521%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 15:52 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.64%EV -4.60%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.41%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -3.59%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -3.59%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -14.77%E -5.01%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -11.88%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 15:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.27%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.48%EV -11.03%E -4.19%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.37%E -4.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.37%E -4.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.37%E -4.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.80%EV -7.17%E -2.88%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.35%E -3.91%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -7.55%E -3.04%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.21%EV -1.22%E -0.417%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -8.99%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 15:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -7.55%E -3.04%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.21%EV -1.22%E -0.417%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -8.99%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 15:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -7.55%E -3.04%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -12.04%E -4.63%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -11.88%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-28 15:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -12.04%E -4.63%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-28 15:36 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.00%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -13.73%E -5.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.00%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -13.73%E -5.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.00%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -13.73%E -5.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.00%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -13.73%E -5.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.79%EV -9.04%E -3.70%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -5.28%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.99%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-28 15:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.79%EV -9.04%E -3.70%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -5.28%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.99%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.28%EV -9.78%E -4.04%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -7.31%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -4.08%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-28 15:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-28 15:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 15:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -10.35%E -3.91%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.37%E -4.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-28 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.37%E -4.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-28 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%EV -13.73%E -5.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -16.22%E -5.59%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.92%EV -11.28%E -4.74%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.79%EV -12.04%E -4.63%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.30%EV -11.65%E -4.91%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.00%EV -12.04%E -4.63%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.70%EV -11.02%E -3.58%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -12.39%E -5.27%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -10.35%E -3.91%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -8.99%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.57%EV -12.39%E -5.27%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.95%EV -12.04%E -4.63%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.69%EV -13.51%E -5.82%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.63%EV -12.04%E -4.63%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -11.88%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-28 15:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.31% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.85% | 1.5% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.78% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.7% | 2026-08-28 15:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.69% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.17% | 2.0% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.69% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.17% | 2.0% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.1% | 2026-08-28 15:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.00% | 2.6% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |