Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Wisła Płock (Local): 37.28%; Korona Kielce (Visitante): 33.83%; Empate: 28.89%. Para Korona Kielce (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.96. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.92, con un valor esperado de -1.22%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.07%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.17%EV -3.45%E -1.33%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.20%EV -1.89%E -0.653%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.63%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-28 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -4.94%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.28%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 15:31 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -4.94%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -6.06%E -2.40%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.35%E -3.91%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -8.99%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.35%EV -6.06%E -2.40%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.35%E -3.91%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.08%EV -8.99%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 15:36 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -5.28%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -1.77%E -0.521%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-28 15:52 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.64%EV -4.60%E -1.63%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.41%EV -3.50%E -1.05%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -3.59%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -3.59%E -1.26%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -14.77%E -5.01%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.65%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -11.88%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 15:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.27%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.48%EV -11.03%E -4.19%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.37%E -4.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.37%E -4.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -6.80%E -2.72%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.37%E -4.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.80%EV -7.17%E -2.88%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.35%E -3.91%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -7.55%E -3.04%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.21%EV -1.22%E -0.417%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -8.99%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 15:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.93%EV -7.55%E -3.04%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.21%EV -1.22%E -0.417%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -8.99%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 15:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.14%EV -7.55%E -3.04%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -12.04%E -4.63%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -11.88%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-28 15:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.95%EV -12.04%E -4.63%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-28 15:36 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.00%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -13.73%E -5.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.00%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -13.73%E -5.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.00%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -13.73%E -5.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.00%EV -8.67%E -3.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.59%EV -13.73%E -5.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-28 15:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.79%EV -9.04%E -3.70%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -5.28%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.99%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-28 15:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.79%EV -9.04%E -3.70%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -5.28%E -1.88%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.99%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.28%EV -9.78%E -4.04%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.81%EV -7.31%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.91%EV -4.08%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-28 15:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.10%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-28 15:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 15:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -10.35%E -3.91%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.37%E -4.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-28 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -11.37%E -4.34%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-28 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%EV -13.73%E -5.39%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -10.53%E -4.39%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.72%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.47%EV -16.22%E -5.59%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.92%EV -11.28%E -4.74%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.79%EV -12.04%E -4.63%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.29%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.30%EV -11.65%E -4.91%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.00%EV -12.04%E -4.63%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.70%EV -11.02%E -3.58%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -12.39%E -5.27%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -10.35%E -3.91%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -8.99%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.57%EV -12.39%E -5.27%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.95%EV -12.04%E -4.63%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-28 15:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.69%EV -13.51%E -5.82%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.63%EV -12.04%E -4.63%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.67%EV -11.88%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-28 15:50 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.31% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.85% | 1.5% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.78% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.7% | 2026-08-28 15:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.69% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.17% | 2.0% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.69% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.17% | 2.0% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.32% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.1% | 2026-08-28 15:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.50% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.00% | 2.6% | 2026-08-28 15:55 |