L’École des cotesFrançais
Wisła Płock v Górnik Zabrze
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Wisła Płock (Local)
Prévision 24.27%4.12cote équitable
EV -0.506%
Avantage -0.123%
Kelly -0.163%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.43%24.10%24.33%25.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.773.804.1028.57%26.55%26.32%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Górnik Zabrze (Visiteur)
Prévision 48.59%2.06cote équitable
EV -3.30%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -3.33%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.99
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.09%48.70%48.55%50.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.901.911.9957.80%52.74%52.36%50.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.14%3.68cote équitable
EV -3.65%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.43%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.04%27.20%27.11%28.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.323.303.5533.33%30.12%30.30%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -0.506%E -0.123%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -11.08%E -6.05%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -0.506%E -0.123%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 15:14 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 15:15 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Pinnacle | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.46%EV -4.63%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.30%E -1.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -4.19%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.37%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 15:19 |
| DraftKings | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| BetUS | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| BetMGM | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 15:19 |
| Unibet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -4.27%E -2.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -4.27%E -2.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 15:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -4.27%E -2.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -4.27%E -2.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -6.22%E -3.22%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 15:24 |
| BetRivers | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -4.76%E -2.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Grosvenor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -4.76%E -2.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Casumo | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -4.76%E -2.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -4.76%E -2.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 15:09 |
| betPARX | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -4.76%E -2.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Betsson | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.67%E -4.04%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 15:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.67%E -4.04%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 15:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| Bet Victor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 15:09 |
| 1xBet | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.26%EV -8.76%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.98%EV -3.79%E -1.91%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -3.65%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -6.22%E -3.22%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 15:23 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.67%E -4.04%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 15:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.16%E -4.32%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 15:20 |
| 888sport | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| TABtouch | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.22%EV -6.22%E -3.22%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -13.15%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Sky Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -11.08%E -6.05%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -13.15%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -15.93%E -9.21%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -18.58%E -6.19%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.19%EV -6.70%E -3.49%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -13.15%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.19%EV -6.70%E -3.49%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -13.15%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -8.65%E -4.60%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 15:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.28%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.80%EV -15.93%E -9.21%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -13.15%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-16 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -9.62%E -5.17%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.51%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.09%EV -7.67%E -4.04%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -14.51%E -4.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 15:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.83%EV -12.05%E -6.66%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.95%EV -10.98%E -3.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-16 15:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.83%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.41%EV -14.48%E -8.23%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-16 15:20 |
| Bet Right | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.07%EV -9.62%E -5.17%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 15:15 |
| Coral | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 15:20 |
| LeoVegas | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.19%EV -8.65%E -4.60%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -14.51%E -4.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -12.53%E -6.96%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 15:00 |
| PlayUp | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -13.85%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -6.70%E -3.49%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.61%EV -13.85%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.22%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -15.86%E -5.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-16 15:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -11.56%E -6.35%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-16 15:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 4.17I 23.98%NM 24.24% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 47.45% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.31% | -1.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 15:15 |
| Matchbook | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 15:15 |
| Smarkets | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.84% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91% | 2.4% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |