مدرسة الاحتمالات

Wisła Płock v Górnik Zabrze

البداية: 2026-05-16 15:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Wisła Płock 0–1 Górnik Zabrze

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Wisła Płock (المضيف)

التنبؤ 24.27%4.12السعر العادل
EV -0.506%
الأفضلية -0.123%
Kelly -0.163%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.43%24.10%24.33%25.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.503.773.804.1028.57%26.55%26.32%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Górnik Zabrze (الضيف)

التنبؤ 48.59%2.06السعر العادل
EV -3.30%
الأفضلية -1.66%
Kelly -3.33%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.99

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
47.09%48.70%48.55%50.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.731.901.911.9957.80%52.74%52.36%50.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.14%3.68السعر العادل
EV -3.65%
الأفضلية -1.03%
Kelly -1.43%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.04%27.20%27.11%28.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.323.303.5533.33%30.12%30.30%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -0.506%E -0.123%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -11.08%E -6.05%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 15:10
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -0.506%E -0.123%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 15:10
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 15:14
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 15:15
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 15:10
Pinnacle3.93I 25.45%NM 24.46%EV -4.63%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.30%E -1.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -4.19%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 15:25
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.37%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 15:19
DraftKings3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 15:25
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 15:25
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 15:25
BetUS3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 15:25
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 15:19
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -4.27%E -2.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 15:10
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -4.27%E -2.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 15:09
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -4.27%E -2.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 15:10
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -4.27%E -2.17%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 15:10
Marathon Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -6.22%E -3.22%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 15:24
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -4.76%E -2.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -4.76%E -2.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -4.76%E -2.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -4.76%E -2.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:09
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -4.76%E -2.43%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 15:10
Betsson3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.67%E -4.04%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 15:20
NordicBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.67%E -4.04%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 15:20
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 15:25
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 15:10
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 15:09
1xBet3.76I 26.60%NM 25.26%EV -8.76%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.98%EV -3.79%E -1.91%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -3.65%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 15:25
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -6.22%E -3.22%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 15:23
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.67%E -4.04%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 15:15
Codere (IT)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.16%E -4.32%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 15:20
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 15:25
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 15:25
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 15:25
TABtouch3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.22%EV -6.22%E -3.22%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -13.15%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 15:10
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -11.08%E -6.05%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -13.15%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-16 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -15.93%E -9.21%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -18.58%E -6.19%K -9.29%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-16 15:10
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.19%EV -6.70%E -3.49%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -13.15%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.19%EV -6.70%E -3.49%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -13.15%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 15:10
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -8.65%E -4.60%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 15:15
NetBet (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.28%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.80%EV -15.93%E -9.21%K -21.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -13.15%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-16 15:15
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -9.62%E -5.17%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 15:20
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.51%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.09%EV -7.67%E -4.04%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -14.51%E -4.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 15:09
Betclic (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.83%EV -12.05%E -6.66%K -14.87%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.95%EV -10.98%E -3.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-16 15:19
Unibet (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 23.83%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.41%EV -14.48%E -8.23%K -19.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-16 15:20
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.07%EV -9.62%E -5.17%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 15:15
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 15:20
LeoVegas3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.19%EV -8.65%E -4.60%K -9.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -14.51%E -4.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-16 15:10
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -12.53%E -6.96%K -15.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 15:00
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -13.85%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -6.70%E -3.49%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-16 15:25
PMU (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 24.61%EV -13.85%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.22%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -15.86%E -5.12%K -7.55%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-16 15:09
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -11.56%E -6.35%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-16 15:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 24.24%2.13I 46.95%NM 47.45%3.57I 28.01%NM 28.31%-1.1%2026-05-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-16 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-16 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-16 15:15
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-16 15:15
Smarkets4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.84%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91%2.4%2026-05-16 15:25