La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Wisła Płock v Górnik Zabrze
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wisła Płock (Local)
Predicción 24.27%4.12momio equitativo
EV -0.506%
Ventaja -0.123%
Kelly -0.163%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.43%24.10%24.33%25.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.773.804.1028.57%26.55%26.32%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Górnik Zabrze (Visitante)
Predicción 48.59%2.06momio equitativo
EV -3.30%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -3.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.99
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.09%48.70%48.55%50.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.901.911.9957.80%52.74%52.36%50.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.14%3.68momio equitativo
EV -3.65%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.04%27.20%27.11%28.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.323.303.5533.33%30.12%30.30%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -0.506%E -0.123%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -11.08%E -6.05%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -0.506%E -0.123%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 15:14 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 15:15 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Pinnacle | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.46%EV -4.63%E -1.18%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.30%E -1.66%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.23%EV -4.19%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.37%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 15:19 |
| DraftKings | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -6.57%E -1.71%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.46%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| BetUS | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.24%E -2.69%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| BetMGM | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 15:19 |
| Unibet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -4.27%E -2.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -4.27%E -2.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 15:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -4.27%E -2.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -4.27%E -2.17%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -6.22%E -3.22%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-16 15:24 |
| BetRivers | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -4.76%E -2.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Grosvenor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -4.76%E -2.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Casumo | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -4.76%E -2.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -4.76%E -2.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 15:09 |
| betPARX | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -4.76%E -2.43%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Betsson | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.67%E -4.04%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 15:20 |
| NordicBet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -7.67%E -4.04%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 15:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| Bet Victor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -7.79%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 15:09 |
| 1xBet | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.26%EV -8.76%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.98%EV -3.79%E -1.91%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -3.65%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| Bovada | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -6.22%E -3.22%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 15:23 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.67%E -4.04%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 15:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.55%EV -8.16%E -4.32%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.72%E -2.27%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 15:20 |
| 888sport | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.19%E -3.76%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| TABtouch | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.30%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.22%EV -6.22%E -3.22%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -13.15%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Sky Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -11.08%E -6.05%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -13.15%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.07%EV -15.93%E -9.21%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -18.58%E -6.19%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.19%EV -6.70%E -3.49%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -13.15%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.19%EV -6.70%E -3.49%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -13.15%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -8.65%E -4.60%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 15:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.28%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.80%EV -15.93%E -9.21%K -21.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -13.15%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-16 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.00%EV -9.62%E -5.17%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -5.01%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-16 15:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.51%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.09%EV -7.67%E -4.04%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -14.51%E -4.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 15:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.83%EV -12.05%E -6.66%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.95%EV -10.98%E -3.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-16 15:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.83%EV -11.43%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.41%EV -14.48%E -8.23%K -19.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -11.79%E -3.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-16 15:20 |
| Bet Right | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.07%EV -9.62%E -5.17%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 15:15 |
| Coral | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 15:20 |
| LeoVegas | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.19%EV -8.65%E -4.60%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.16%EV -14.51%E -4.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-16 15:10 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.89%EV -12.53%E -6.96%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 15:00 |
| PlayUp | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.48%EV -13.85%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.11%EV -6.70%E -3.49%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -10.44%E -3.16%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.61%EV -13.85%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.22%EV -10.10%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -15.86%E -5.12%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-16 15:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -15.07%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.47%EV -11.56%E -6.35%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -9.08%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-16 15:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 4.17I 23.98%NM 24.24% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 47.45% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.31% | -1.1% | 2026-05-16 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 15:15 |
| Matchbook | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 15:15 |
| Smarkets | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.84% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91% | 2.4% | 2026-05-16 15:25 |