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Wisła Kraków v Wisła Płock

2026-08-07 18:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wisła Kraków (Local)

Prediction 47.68%2.10fair odd
EV -4.64%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -4.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.55%47.75%47.64%49.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.921.922.0055.25%52.05%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wisła Płock (Visit)

Prediction 25.38%3.94fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.599%
Kelly -0.809%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.26%25.41%25.35%26.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.663.693.8529.41%27.29%27.14%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.94%3.71fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -0.835%
Kelly -1.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.55%26.84%27.01%28.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.403.6031.25%29.23%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Wisła Kraków (Local): 47.68%; Wisła Płock (Visit): 25.38%; Draw: 26.94%. For Wisła Płock (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.85, with an expected value of -2.31%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 17:44
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 18:35
SportsBet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -6.54%E -3.34%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 17:45
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 17:44
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 17:30
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 17:15
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 17:15
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-04 17:43
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-04 17:44
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-04 17:40
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-04 17:40
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-04 17:45
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -13.78%E -4.31%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-04 18:45
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -2.31%E -0.599%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 13:14
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -2.31%E -0.599%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 13:14
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -2.31%E -0.599%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 13:15
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -2.31%E -0.599%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 13:15
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.52%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.24%EV -6.37%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -4.35%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 13:44
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.57%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 13:14
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.57%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 13:15
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.57%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 13:15
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.57%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 13:14
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.57%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 13:14
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 13:25
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-04 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-04 17:29
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-04 17:30
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-04 18:34
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -9.40%E -4.95%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.17%EV -6.62%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -4.35%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 13:24
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -10.36%E -5.51%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.57%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 13:15
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -10.84%E -5.79%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-04 13:14
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -10.84%E -5.79%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-04 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -10.84%E -5.79%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-04 13:14
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.75%EV -13.70%E -7.57%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-04 13:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 46.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.11%10.1%2026-08-04 23:10
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%11.7%2026-08-04 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 32.05%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.82%1.08I 92.59%NM 34.13%171.3%2026-08-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 32.05%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.82%1.08I 92.59%NM 34.13%171.3%2026-08-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 32.05%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.82%1.08I 92.59%NM 34.13%171.3%2026-08-04 22:40