Language:English
Wisła Kraków v Wisła Płock
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wisła Kraków (Local)
Prediction 53.89%1.86fair odd
EV -4.07%
Edge -2.29%
Kelly -5.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.93%53.92%53.98%55.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.721.731.7862.11%58.01%57.80%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wisła Płock (Visit)
Prediction 21.36%4.68fair odd
EV +4.69%
Edge +0.957%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.056%
assuming max odds 4.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.14%21.28%21.44%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.264.204.9026.32%23.45%23.81%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.74%4.04fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.257%
Kelly -0.342%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.84%24.80%24.58%26.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.683.704.0029.41%27.18%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wisła Kraków (Local): 53.89%; Wisła Płock (Visit): 21.36%; Draw: 24.74%. For Wisła Płock (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.68. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.69%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -9.46%E -5.63%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +4.69%E +0.957%K +1.20%G +0.056% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -7.21%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -9.46%E -5.63%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +4.69%E +0.957%K +1.20%G +0.056% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -7.21%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.91%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.06%EV +2.34%E +0.488%K +0.617%G +0.014% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 25.03%EV -4.99%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.18%EV -8.92%E -5.28%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -1.72%E -0.374%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -6.23%E -3.58%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -4.74%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -7.84%E -4.59%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.19%EV -8.94%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -10.00%E -5.99%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-07 17:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -8.92%E -5.28%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -9.69%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 18:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -8.92%E -5.28%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -9.69%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.03%E -0.257%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 17:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -8.38%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -10.00%E -5.99%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -7.49%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -10.00%E -5.99%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -7.49%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -8.13%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-07 17:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -9.20%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.50%EV -4.07%E -2.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.50%EV -4.07%E -2.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.50%EV -4.07%E -2.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 18:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.50%EV -4.07%E -2.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-07 17:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.38%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.21%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-07 17:56 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.38%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.21%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-07 18:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.38%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.21%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-07 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -10.00%E -5.99%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.40%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%EV -4.07%E -2.29%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.73%EV -10.70%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.88%EV -1.52%E -0.382%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -7.31%E -4.25%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -11.34%E -2.73%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.21%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -7.31%E -4.25%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -11.34%E -2.73%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.21%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-07 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.69%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-07 18:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -8.38%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-07 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.31%E -4.25%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -12.16%E -3.43%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-07 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.17%EV -13.23%E -8.22%K -21.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.27%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.57%EV -12.16%E -3.43%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.18%EV -9.46%E -5.63%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.54%E -3.64%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -9.69%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-07 17:56 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.63%EV -10.00%E -5.99%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -15.61%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -13.40%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-07 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -16.68%E -4.28%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -15.87%E -4.67%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-07 12:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -16.68%E -4.28%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -15.87%E -4.67%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-07 12:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -10.00%E -5.99%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -18.81%E -4.95%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-07 06:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.36% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30% | 0.4% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.50% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76% | 1.0% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.16% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69% | 1.3% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02% | 1.5% | 2026-08-07 18:25 |