Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wisła Kraków v Wisła Płock

2026-08-07 18:30 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Frente a frente

34 casas de apostas (10 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wisła Kraków (Local)

Previsão 47.68%2.10odd justa
EV -4.64%
Vantagem -2.32%
Kelly -4.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.55%47.75%47.64%49.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.811.921.922.0055.25%52.05%52.08%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wisła Płock (Visitante)

Previsão 25.38%3.94odd justa
EV -2.31%
Vantagem -0.599%
Kelly -0.809%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.26%25.41%25.35%26.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.663.693.8529.41%27.29%27.14%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.94%3.71odd justa
EV -3.01%
Vantagem -0.835%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.55%26.84%27.01%28.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.423.403.6031.25%29.23%29.41%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Wisła Kraków (Local): 47.68%; Wisła Płock (Visitante): 25.38%; Empate: 26.94%. Para Wisła Płock (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 3.94. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 3.85, com valor esperado de -2.31%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (34 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.64%E -2.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 17:44
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -5.59%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 18:35
SportsBet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -6.54%E -3.34%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 17:45
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 17:44
BetMGM1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.11%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 17:30
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 17:15
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.38%E -2.02%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 17:15
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-04 17:43
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-04 17:44
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-04 17:40
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-04 17:40
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.02%E -3.60%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-04 17:45
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -13.78%E -4.31%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-04 18:45
Unibet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -2.31%E -0.599%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 13:14
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -2.31%E -0.599%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 13:14
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -2.31%E -0.599%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 13:15
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -2.31%E -0.599%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 13:15
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.52%EV -8.45%E -4.40%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.24%EV -6.37%E -1.73%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -4.35%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 13:44
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.57%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 13:14
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.57%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 13:15
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.57%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 13:15
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.57%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 13:14
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.57%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.70%E -1.63%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 13:14
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -3.01%E -0.835%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-04 13:25
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-04 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-04 17:29
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.19%E -3.20%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.44%E -3.83%K -5.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-04 17:30
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.93%E -4.67%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -13.72%E -4.04%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-04 18:34
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -9.40%E -4.95%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.17%EV -6.62%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -4.35%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 13:24
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -10.36%E -5.51%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -3.57%E -0.941%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.05%E -2.04%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-04 13:15
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -10.84%E -5.79%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-04 13:14
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -10.84%E -5.79%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-04 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -10.84%E -5.79%K -12.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -4.84%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.39%E -2.47%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-04 13:14
PMU (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.75%EV -13.70%E -7.57%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.51%EV -8.65%E -2.40%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -11.09%E -3.36%K -4.82%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-04 13:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 46.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.55%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.11%10.1%2026-08-04 23:10
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%11.7%2026-08-04 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 32.05%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.82%1.08I 92.59%NM 34.13%171.3%2026-08-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 32.05%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.82%1.08I 92.59%NM 34.13%171.3%2026-08-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 32.05%1.09I 91.74%NM 33.82%1.08I 92.59%NM 34.13%171.3%2026-08-04 22:40