Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wisła Kraków v Wisła Płock

Início: 2026-08-07 18:30 UTC

Final: Wisła Kraków 2–1 Wisła Płock

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Wisła Kraków (Local)

Previsão 53.89%1.86odd justa
EV -4.07%
Vantagem -2.29%
Kelly -5.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.93%53.92%53.98%55.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.611.721.731.7862.11%58.01%57.80%56.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Wisła Płock (Visitante)

Previsão 21.36%4.68odd justa
EV +4.69%
Vantagem +0.957%
Kelly +1.20%
Crescimento +0.056%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.14%21.28%21.44%23.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.804.264.204.9026.32%23.45%23.81%20.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.74%4.04odd justa
EV -1.03%
Vantagem -0.257%
Kelly -0.342%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.84%24.80%24.58%26.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.683.704.0029.41%27.18%27.03%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Wisła Kraków (Local): 53.89%; Wisła Płock (Visitante): 21.36%; Empate: 24.74%. Para Wisła Płock (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.68. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.90, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.69%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -9.46%E -5.63%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +4.69%E +0.957%K +1.20%G +0.056%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -7.21%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -9.46%E -5.63%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV +4.69%E +0.957%K +1.20%G +0.056%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -7.21%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 17:50
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.91%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.06%EV +2.34%E +0.488%K +0.617%G +0.014%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.03%EV -4.99%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.18%EV -8.92%E -5.28%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -1.72%E -0.374%K -0.478%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -6.23%E -3.58%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.58%EV -4.74%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -7.84%E -4.59%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.19%EV -8.94%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-07 18:25
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -10.00%E -5.99%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 17:45
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -8.92%E -5.28%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -9.69%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 18:24
BetUS🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.39%EV -8.92%E -5.28%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -3.86%E -0.857%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -9.69%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.49%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.03%E -0.257%K -0.342%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 17:55
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.98%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-07 18:25
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -8.38%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -5.99%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 18:05
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -10.00%E -5.99%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -7.49%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-07 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -10.00%E -5.99%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -7.49%E -1.73%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-07 18:15
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -8.13%E -1.89%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 17:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -9.20%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.98%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 17:50
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.50%EV -4.07%E -2.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.50%EV -4.07%E -2.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.50%EV -4.07%E -2.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 18:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.50%EV -4.07%E -2.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 18:05
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 18:05
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 18:05
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 18:05
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 18:05
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -4.61%E -2.61%K -5.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 17:45
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.38%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.21%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 17:56
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.38%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.21%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 18:14
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -8.38%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.21%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 18:15
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.34%EV -10.00%E -5.99%K -14.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -10.27%E -2.44%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.40%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-07 17:50
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.39%EV -4.07%E -2.29%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.73%EV -10.70%E -2.56%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.88%EV -1.52%E -0.382%K -0.511%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 18:20
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -7.31%E -4.25%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -11.34%E -2.73%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.21%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 17:50
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -7.31%E -4.25%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.13%EV -11.34%E -2.73%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.21%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.46%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.69%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-07 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.56%EV -6.77%E -3.91%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-07 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -8.38%E -4.93%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -8.45%E -2.28%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-07 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.31%E -4.25%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.45%EV -12.16%E -3.43%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-07 17:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.17%EV -13.23%E -8.22%K -21.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.27%EV -12.40%E -3.03%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.57%EV -12.16%E -3.43%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-07 18:25
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.18%EV -9.46%E -5.63%K -13.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.54%E -3.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -9.69%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-07 17:56
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.63%EV -10.00%E -5.99%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -15.61%E -3.95%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.11%EV -13.40%E -3.83%K -5.36%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-07 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -16.68%E -4.28%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -15.87%E -4.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-07 12:00
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -5.69%E -3.25%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -16.68%E -4.28%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -15.87%E -4.67%K -6.61%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-07 12:00
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -10.00%E -5.99%K -14.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -18.81%E -4.95%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.92%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-07 06:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.36%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.34%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-08-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.50%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-08-07 18:25
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.79%0.9%2026-08-07 18:25
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.03%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-08-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.16%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.69%1.3%2026-08-07 18:25
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.02%1.5%2026-08-07 18:25