Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wieczysta Kraków v Zagłębie Lubin

Kickoff: 2026-09-07 16:00 UTC

Final: Wieczysta Kraków 1–1 Zagłębie Lubin

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wieczysta Kraków (Local)

Prediction 48.58%2.06fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.84%48.69%48.57%50.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.902.0055.56%52.80%52.77%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zagłębie Lubin (Visit)

Prediction 25.72%3.89fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.276%
Kelly +0.370%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.99%25.67%25.72%26.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.553.553.9329.85%28.15%28.17%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.70%3.89fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.277%
Kelly -0.374%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.96%25.65%25.72%26.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.553.583.8529.41%28.14%27.97%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wieczysta Kraków (Local): 48.58%; Zagłębie Lubin (Visit): 25.72%; Draw: 25.70%. For Zagłębie Lubin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.89. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.93, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.89%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.50%EV +1.08%E +0.276%K +0.370%G +0.004%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.61%EV -3.38%E -0.899%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 15:40
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -9.15%E -4.89%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV +0.313%E +0.080%K +0.108%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 15:19
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -3.55%E -0.945%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -3.64%E -0.970%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 15:50
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -3.55%E -0.945%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.35%E -0.619%K -0.840%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 15:30
Bovada🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.69%EV -9.64%E -5.18%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -3.55%E -0.945%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 15:44
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.69%EV -9.64%E -5.18%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -3.55%E -0.945%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 15:45
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -10.12%E -5.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -3.55%E -0.945%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 15:39
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -11.10%E -6.06%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -11.10%E -6.06%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.69%E -4.05%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -6.89%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -6.98%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 15:59
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -1.07%E -0.277%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 15:20
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 15:20
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.67%E -4.61%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 15:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -10.12%E -5.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 15:55
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -8.18%E -4.33%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 15:19
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 15:59
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.67%E -4.61%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 15:20
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -11.10%E -6.06%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 15:20
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 15:35
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 15:35
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 15:35
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 15:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 15:59
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -6.72%E -3.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 15:20
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -6.72%E -3.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 15:20
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.69%E -4.05%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 15:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 15:20
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -7.69%E -4.05%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 15:59
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.15%E -4.89%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 15:53
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.03%EV -11.58%E -6.36%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -2.35%E -0.619%K -0.840%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 15:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.67%E -4.61%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 15:25
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -12.55%E -6.97%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-07 15:20
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.12%E -5.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-07 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.12%E -5.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-07 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.34%EV -11.10%E -6.06%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -11.10%E -6.06%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-07 15:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.43%EV -12.07%E -6.67%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-07 15:57
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -8.67%E -4.61%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -13.83%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-07 15:35
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.92%EV -9.64%E -5.18%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -13.83%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-07 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.43%EV -9.15%E -4.89%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -13.83%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-07 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.43%EV -9.15%E -4.89%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -13.83%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-07 15:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.43%EV -9.15%E -4.89%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -13.83%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-07 15:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.43%EV -9.15%E -4.89%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -13.83%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-07 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 48.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 24.47%3.80I 26.32%NM 27.05%-2.7%2026-09-07 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%0.2%2026-09-07 15:55
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 50.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-09-07 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-09-07 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-09-07 15:55
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 50.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.0%2026-09-07 15:25