The School of Odds
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Wieczysta Kraków v Zagłębie Lubin

2026-09-07 16:00 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wieczysta Kraków (Local)

Prediction 49.38%2.03fair odd
EV +3.69%
Edge +1.76%
Kelly +3.36%
Growth +0.124%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.64%48.92%49.61%50.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.941.902.1057.14%51.62%52.63%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Zagłębie Lubin (Visit)

Prediction 24.79%4.03fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -0.718%
Kelly -0.964%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.00%25.10%24.72%27.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.403.9231.25%28.65%29.41%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.83%3.87fair odd
EV -4.17%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.13%25.98%25.66%27.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.433.403.7131.25%29.20%29.41%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Wieczysta Kraków (Local): 49.38%; Zagłębie Lubin (Visit): 24.79%; Draw: 25.83%. For Wieczysta Kraków (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.03. 8 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.10, producing a positive expected value of +3.69%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +3.69%E +1.76%K +3.36%G +0.124%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -15.71%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 16:15
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +3.69%E +1.76%K +3.36%G +0.124%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -15.71%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +3.69%E +1.76%K +3.36%G +0.124%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -15.71%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 16:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +3.69%E +1.76%K +3.36%G +0.124%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -15.71%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 16:19
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +3.69%E +1.76%K +3.36%G +0.124%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -15.71%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 16:20
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +3.69%E +1.76%K +3.36%G +0.124%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -15.71%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +3.69%E +1.76%K +3.36%G +0.124%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -15.71%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV +3.69%E +1.76%K +3.36%G +0.124%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -15.71%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 16:20
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -0.258%E -0.128%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -19.42%E -5.98%K -8.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-31 16:19
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -1.25%E -0.623%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -20.66%E -6.46%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -16.05%E -4.94%K -7.13%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-31 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -20.66%E -6.46%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -17.34%E -5.42%K -7.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-31 16:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.69%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -20.66%E -6.46%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -17.34%E -5.42%K -7.88%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-31 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.82%EV -2.73%E -1.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -20.66%E -6.46%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -17.34%E -5.42%K -7.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-31 16:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.82%EV -2.73%E -1.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -20.66%E -6.46%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -17.34%E -5.42%K -7.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-31 16:19
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -5.69%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-31 17:53
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 17:20
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 00:15
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 00:15
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.34%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.14%EV -2.81%E -0.718%K -0.964%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.51%EV -4.17%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-31 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.59%E -2.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 00:15
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.82%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.45%EV -5.54%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.73%EV -6.49%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 18:50
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.27%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -4.43%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 17:20
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -8.65%E -4.68%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.27%EV -5.29%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -6.49%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 18:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.48%EV -10.13%E -5.57%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -15.71%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.57%EV -10.88%E -3.16%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-01 00:15
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.12%E -6.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 00:09
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -11.12%E -6.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.01%E -1.95%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-01 00:10
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.83%EV -11.12%E -6.18%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.09%EV -18.19%E -5.51%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.09%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%16.2%2026-08-31 17:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 48.47%EV -12.11%E -6.80%K -15.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.38%EV -15.71%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -14.76%E -4.47%K -6.42%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-01 00:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.23%EV -13.10%E -7.44%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.75%EV -13.23%E -3.78%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.02%EV -13.98%E -4.20%K -6.00%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-01 00:14
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -13.59%E -7.77%K -18.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -10.75%E -2.99%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -12.18%E -3.58%K -5.07%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-31 23:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.89I 52.91%NM 49.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%5.9%2026-09-01 03:50
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 47.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%16.7%2026-09-01 00:15