Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wieczysta Kraków v Zagłębie Lubin

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-07 16:00 UTC

Score final : Wieczysta Kraków 1–1 Zagłębie Lubin

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wieczysta Kraków (Local)

Prévision 48.58%2.06cote équitable
EV -2.84%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -2.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.84%48.69%48.57%50.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.891.902.0055.56%52.80%52.77%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Zagłębie Lubin (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.72%3.89cote équitable
EV +1.08%
Avantage +0.276%
Kelly +0.370%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.99%25.67%25.72%26.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.353.553.553.9329.85%28.15%28.17%25.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.70%3.89cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.277%
Kelly -0.374%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.96%25.65%25.72%26.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.553.583.8529.41%28.14%27.97%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Wieczysta Kraków (Local) : 48.58% ; Zagłębie Lubin (Visiteur) : 25.72% ; Match nul : 25.70%. Pour Zagłębie Lubin (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.89. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.93, soit une espérance positive de +1.08%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.89%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.50%EV +1.08%E +0.276%K +0.370%G +0.004%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.61%EV -3.38%E -0.899%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-07 15:40
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -9.15%E -4.89%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV +0.313%E +0.080%K +0.108%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-07 15:19
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.28%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -3.55%E -0.945%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.36%EV -3.64%E -0.970%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 15:50
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.70%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%EV -3.55%E -0.945%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.98%EV -2.35%E -0.619%K -0.840%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 15:30
Bovada🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.69%EV -9.64%E -5.18%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -3.55%E -0.945%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 15:44
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.69%EV -9.64%E -5.18%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -3.55%E -0.945%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-07 15:45
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -10.12%E -5.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -3.55%E -0.945%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 15:39
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -11.10%E -6.06%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.57%EV -11.10%E -6.06%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -4.83%E -1.31%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.69%E -4.05%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -6.89%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -6.98%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 15:59
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -1.07%E -0.277%K -0.374%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.27%E -2.70%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-07 15:20
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.24%E -3.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 15:20
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.67%E -4.61%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 15:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -10.12%E -5.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -4.92%E -1.33%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 15:55
Fanatics🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.43%EV -8.18%E -4.33%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 15:19
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 15:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 15:59
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.67%E -4.61%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 15:20
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -11.10%E -6.06%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -7.40%E -2.06%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 15:20
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 15:35
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 15:35
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 15:35
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -4.78%E -2.44%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.43%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.21%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-07 15:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -2.84%E -1.42%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 15:59
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -6.72%E -3.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 15:20
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.86%EV -6.72%E -3.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.69%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-07 15:20
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.69%E -4.05%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-07 15:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -8.78%E -2.47%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 15:20
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.95%EV -7.69%E -4.05%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 15:59
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -9.15%E -4.89%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 15:53
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.03%EV -11.58%E -6.36%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -9.98%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -2.35%E -0.619%K -0.840%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-07 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -7.21%E -3.77%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 15:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -8.67%E -4.61%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-07 15:25
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -12.55%E -6.97%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -7.49%E -2.08%K -2.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-07 15:20
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.12%E -5.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-07 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.12%E -5.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-07 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.34%EV -11.10%E -6.06%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 15:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -11.10%E -6.06%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-07 15:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.43%EV -12.07%E -6.67%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -12.55%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-07 15:57
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -8.67%E -4.61%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -13.83%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -11.35%E -3.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-07 15:35
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.92%EV -9.64%E -5.18%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.61%EV -13.83%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -10.06%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-07 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.43%EV -9.15%E -4.89%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -13.83%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-07 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.43%EV -9.15%E -4.89%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -13.83%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-07 15:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.43%EV -9.15%E -4.89%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -13.83%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-07 15:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.43%EV -9.15%E -4.89%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -13.83%E -4.13%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.63%E -3.71%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-07 15:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 48.48%4.20I 23.81%NM 24.47%3.80I 26.32%NM 27.05%-2.7%2026-09-07 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.65%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.76%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%0.2%2026-09-07 15:55
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 50.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-09-07 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.44%0.8%2026-09-07 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%0.8%2026-09-07 15:55
Kalshi◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.0%2026-09-07 15:25