Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Śląsk Wrocław v Widzew Łódź

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 18:15 UTC

Final: Śląsk Wrocław 3–3 Widzew Łódź

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Śląsk Wrocław (Local)

Prediction 30.93%3.23fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.713%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.60%30.99%30.91%32.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.922.903.1636.36%34.24%34.48%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Widzew Łódź (Visit)

Prediction 41.88%2.39fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.49%41.82%41.87%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.202.3048.78%45.77%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.18%3.68fair odd
EV -0.776%
Edge -0.213%
Kelly -0.293%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.74%27.19%27.22%28.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.403.403.6531.25%29.42%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Śląsk Wrocław (Local): 30.93%; Widzew Łódź (Visit): 41.88%; Draw: 27.18%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.65, with an expected value of -0.776%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.46%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.59%EV -5.34%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.96%EV -2.95%E -0.827%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -7.02%E -3.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 14:24
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -7.02%E -3.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 14:24
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -7.02%E -3.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.01%E -4.07%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:24
1xBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 30.44%EV -5.35%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.15%EV -7.44%E -3.37%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 15:09
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -5.66%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 14:24
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.47%EV -5.97%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.29%EV -8.28%E -3.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 15:05
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 15:20
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 14:59
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.70%E -3.99%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 14:38
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 15:20
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 15:20
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 15:00
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 14:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -8.75%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.776%E -0.213%K -0.293%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 14:24
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.75%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 14:28
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.45%EV -8.75%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.17%EV -10.79%E -5.07%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.38%EV -10.83%E -3.30%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 15:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.75%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 15:20
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 14:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.58%EV -5.34%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:29
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 14:28
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 14:24
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 14:28
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 15:19
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 14:30
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -9.11%E -4.20%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -3.49%E -0.984%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -9.11%E -4.20%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -3.49%E -0.984%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:24
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -9.11%E -4.20%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -3.49%E -0.984%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -9.11%E -4.20%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -3.49%E -0.984%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:24
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -9.11%E -4.20%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -3.49%E -0.984%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:25
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -9.11%E -4.20%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -3.49%E -0.984%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -9.11%E -4.20%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -3.49%E -0.984%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:25
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -14.14%E -6.90%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-22 14:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.46%EV -11.22%E -3.91%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.23%EV -13.30%E -6.43%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -13.01%E -4.07%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-22 15:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.84%E -4.16%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 14:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -11.84%E -4.16%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 15:20
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -13.39%E -4.78%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.09%EV -10.37%E -4.85%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-22 14:25
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.39%E -4.78%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 15:15
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.39%E -4.78%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 15:20
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -13.39%E -4.78%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.16%EV -11.21%E -5.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 14:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.39%E -4.78%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 14:24
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.39%E -4.78%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 14:25
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -13.39%E -4.78%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 14:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -14.94%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -14.94%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 14:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -14.94%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 14:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -14.94%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 14:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.96%2.38I 42.02%NM 42.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.03%0.0%2026-08-22 14:30
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-08-22 15:20
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20%2.1%2026-08-22 15:20