Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Śląsk Wrocław v Widzew Łódź

Início: 2026-08-22 18:15 UTC

Final: Śląsk Wrocław 3–3 Widzew Łódź

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Śląsk Wrocław (Local)

Previsão 30.93%3.23odd justa
EV -2.25%
Vantagem -0.713%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.60%30.99%30.91%32.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.922.903.1636.36%34.24%34.48%31.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Widzew Łódź (Visitante)

Previsão 41.88%2.39odd justa
EV -3.67%
Vantagem -1.60%
Kelly -2.82%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.49%41.82%41.87%42.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.182.202.3048.78%45.77%45.45%43.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.18%3.68odd justa
EV -0.776%
Vantagem -0.213%
Kelly -0.293%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.74%27.19%27.22%28.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.403.403.6531.25%29.42%29.41%27.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Śląsk Wrocław (Local): 30.93%; Widzew Łódź (Visitante): 41.88%; Empate: 27.18%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.68. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.65, com valor esperado de -0.776%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 30.46%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.59%EV -5.34%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.96%EV -2.95%E -0.827%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -7.02%E -3.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 14:24
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -7.02%E -3.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 14:24
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%EV -7.02%E -3.16%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.11%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.01%E -4.07%K -5.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:24
1xBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 30.44%EV -5.35%E -1.75%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.15%EV -7.44%E -3.37%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 15:09
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -5.66%E -1.85%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 14:24
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.47%EV -5.97%E -1.96%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.29%EV -8.28%E -3.78%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 15:05
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 14:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 15:20
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 14:59
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -8.70%E -3.99%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 14:38
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 15:20
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 15:20
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 15:00
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.20%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 14:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -8.75%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.25%EV -6.60%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -0.776%E -0.213%K -0.293%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 14:24
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -8.75%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 14:28
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.45%EV -8.75%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.17%EV -10.79%E -5.07%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.38%EV -10.83%E -3.30%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-22 15:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -8.75%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 15:20
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -3.67%E -1.60%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 14:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.63%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 40.58%EV -5.34%E -2.36%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:29
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 14:28
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 14:24
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 14:28
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.30%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 15:19
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -5.76%E -2.56%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 14:30
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -9.11%E -4.20%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -3.49%E -0.984%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -9.11%E -4.20%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -3.49%E -0.984%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:24
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -9.11%E -4.20%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -3.49%E -0.984%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -9.11%E -4.20%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -3.49%E -0.984%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:24
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -9.11%E -4.20%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -3.49%E -0.984%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:25
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -9.11%E -4.20%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -3.49%E -0.984%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.29%EV -9.11%E -4.20%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -3.49%E -0.984%K -1.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:25
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.51%EV -10.91%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.86%EV -14.14%E -6.90%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-22 14:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 30.46%EV -11.22%E -3.91%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.23%EV -13.30%E -6.43%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -13.01%E -4.07%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-22 15:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.84%E -4.16%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-22 14:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -11.84%E -4.16%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -8.93%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 15:20
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -13.39%E -4.78%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.09%EV -10.37%E -4.85%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -4.85%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-22 14:25
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.39%E -4.78%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 15:15
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -13.39%E -4.78%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.29%E -3.12%K -4.47%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 15:20
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -13.39%E -4.78%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.16%EV -11.21%E -5.29%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -6.21%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 14:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.39%E -4.78%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 14:24
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.39%E -4.78%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 14:25
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -13.39%E -4.78%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -9.95%E -4.63%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -11.65%E -3.58%K -5.18%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-22 14:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -14.94%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 14:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -14.94%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 14:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -14.94%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 14:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -14.94%E -5.43%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -7.57%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 14:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.96%2.38I 42.02%NM 42.02%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.03%0.0%2026-08-22 14:30
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-08-22 15:20
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.60%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.20%2.1%2026-08-22 15:20