Language:English
Śląsk Wrocław v Korona Kielce
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Śląsk Wrocław (Local)
Prediction 36.53%2.74fair odd
EV -3.94%
Edge -1.50%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.55%36.54%36.55%37.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.522.502.6343.48%39.73%40.00%38.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Korona Kielce (Visit)
Prediction 36.01%2.78fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.13%35.93%35.93%37.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.532.552.7041.67%39.53%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.47%3.64fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.312%
Kelly -0.432%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.51%27.52%27.51%29.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.303.6032.26%30.13%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Śląsk Wrocław (Local): 36.53%; Korona Kielce (Visit): 36.01%; Draw: 27.47%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -1.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 17:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.03%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.12%E -0.312%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-06 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.03%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 12:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.72%EV -5.76%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -4.58%E -1.73%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.54%EV -5.52%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-08 19:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.23%EV -6.50%E -2.54%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.67%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.23%EV -6.50%E -2.54%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.67%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-07 21:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.23%EV -6.50%E -2.54%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.67%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-08 20:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 12:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-09 01:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -2.78%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -14.86%E -4.79%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -10.70%E -4.31%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.47%EV -7.23%E -2.84%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -8.81%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.47%EV -7.23%E -2.84%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -8.81%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 17:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -7.96%E -3.16%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.70%EV -6.74%E -2.60%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-08 19:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.18%EV -7.96%E -3.16%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.76%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 22:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.18%EV -7.96%E -3.16%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.76%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-08 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-08 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 18:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 12:53 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-08 07:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 09:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-09 08:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-09 09:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-09 12:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -11.78%E -4.81%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 18:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.42%E -3.80%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-08 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -9.42%E -3.80%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -12.50%E -5.14%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -9.42%E -3.80%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -12.50%E -5.14%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -9.42%E -3.80%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -12.50%E -5.14%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -9.42%E -3.80%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -12.50%E -5.14%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-06 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.78%E -4.81%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-08 22:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.78%E -4.81%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-09 12:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-09 01:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -12.34%E -5.14%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -13.58%E -5.66%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-08 22:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -12.34%E -5.14%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -11.78%E -4.81%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -13.48%E -4.28%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-09 08:14 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.89%EV -13.07%E -5.49%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.41%EV -10.70%E -4.31%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 27.70%EV -12.93%E -4.08%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-08 22:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -15.99%E -6.95%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-09 06:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -15.99%E -6.95%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-07 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.54% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.60% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86% | 4.0% | 2026-09-09 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.98% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.14% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.98% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.14% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.98% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.14% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88% | 4.8% | 2026-09-09 16:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.92% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.07% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00% | 5.8% | 2026-09-09 16:26 |