Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Śląsk Wrocław v Korona Kielce

Início: 2026-09-12 12:45 UTC

Final: Śląsk Wrocław 1–2 Korona Kielce

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Śląsk Wrocław (Local)

Previsão 36.53%2.74odd justa
EV -3.94%
Vantagem -1.50%
Kelly -2.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.55%36.54%36.55%37.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.522.502.6343.48%39.73%40.00%38.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Korona Kielce (Visitante)

Previsão 36.01%2.78odd justa
EV -2.78%
Vantagem -1.03%
Kelly -1.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.13%35.93%35.93%37.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.532.552.7041.67%39.53%39.22%37.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.47%3.64odd justa
EV -1.12%
Vantagem -0.312%
Kelly -0.432%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.51%27.52%27.51%29.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.103.323.303.6032.26%30.13%30.30%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Śląsk Wrocław (Local): 36.53%; Korona Kielce (Visitante): 36.01%; Empate: 27.47%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.64. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.60, com valor esperado de -1.12%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:50
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:50
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:50
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -3.94%E -1.50%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:50
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.03%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.12%E -0.312%K -0.432%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 18:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.03%E -1.94%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 12:55
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.72%EV -5.76%E -2.23%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -4.58%E -1.73%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.54%EV -5.52%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-08 19:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.23%EV -6.50%E -2.54%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.67%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 21:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.23%EV -6.50%E -2.54%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.67%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-07 21:40
BetUS🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.23%EV -6.50%E -2.54%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.67%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-08 20:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 12:50
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 01:40
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -3.87%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -2.78%E -1.03%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -14.86%E -4.79%K -7.07%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 17:05
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -6.86%E -2.69%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -10.70%E -4.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 17:50
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.47%EV -7.23%E -2.84%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -8.81%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.47%EV -7.23%E -2.84%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -8.81%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 17:29
Bovada🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -7.96%E -3.16%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.70%EV -6.74%E -2.60%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.60%EV -7.99%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-08 19:28
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.18%EV -7.96%E -3.16%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.76%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 22:20
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.18%EV -7.96%E -3.16%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.76%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 22:20
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -8.18%E -3.21%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-08 14:00
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -5.24%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 18:35
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 12:53
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-08 07:50
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 09:03
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 09:04
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.62%E -1.95%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 08:20
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 09:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 09:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.38%E -2.45%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-09 09:04
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 12:50
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -8.69%E -3.47%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -11.78%E -4.81%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -9.42%E -3.80%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -9.42%E -3.80%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -12.50%E -5.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -9.42%E -3.80%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -12.50%E -5.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -9.42%E -3.80%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -12.50%E -5.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -9.42%E -3.80%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -12.50%E -5.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-06 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.78%E -4.81%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-08 22:20
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.78%E -4.81%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.36%E -2.84%K -4.07%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-09 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 01:39
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.51%E -4.29%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 01:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -12.34%E -5.14%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.52%EV -13.58%E -5.66%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.74%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-08 22:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -12.34%E -5.14%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -11.78%E -4.81%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -13.48%E -4.28%K -6.27%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-09 08:14
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.89%EV -13.07%E -5.49%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.41%EV -10.70%E -4.31%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.70%EV -12.93%E -4.08%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-08 22:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -15.99%E -6.95%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-09 06:44
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -15.99%E -6.95%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -9.98%E -3.99%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -12.11%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-07 18:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 36.54%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%4.0%2026-09-09 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 36.98%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.14%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%4.8%2026-09-09 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 36.98%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.14%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%4.8%2026-09-09 16:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 36.98%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.14%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%4.8%2026-09-09 16:05
Smarkets◎2.56I 39.06%NM 36.92%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.07%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%5.8%2026-09-09 16:26