A Escola das Odds

Raków Częstochowa v Widzew Łódź

Início: 2026-04-04 12:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Raków Częstochowa (Local)

Previsão 45.35%2.21odd justa
EV -3.86%
Vantagem -1.82%
Kelly -3.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.92%45.31%45.37%46.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.882.022.022.1253.19%49.49%49.50%47.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Widzew Łódź (Visitante)

Previsão 25.97%3.85odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.347%
Kelly -0.470%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.96%25.97%26.00%27.06%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.523.553.8030.77%28.37%28.17%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 28.68%3.49odd justa
EV -2.49%
Vantagem -0.731%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.62%28.72%28.63%30.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.193.203.4035.71%31.31%31.25%29.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.45%EV -3.86%E -1.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.36%EV -1.32%E -0.347%K -0.470%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.20%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 12:30
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.45%EV -3.86%E -1.82%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.36%EV -1.32%E -0.347%K -0.470%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.20%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-04 12:29
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 45.61%EV -4.31%E -2.04%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.40%EV -1.58%E -0.416%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.99%EV -4.78%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 12:40
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -2.49%E -0.731%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 12:30
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 12:29
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.49%E -0.731%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 12:33
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -5.67%E -2.73%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 08:30
1xBet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.99%EV -6.13%E -2.96%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.09%EV -7.29%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.92%EV -7.65%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 12:34
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 12:01
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 12:00
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 12:00
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-04 12:01
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 08:30
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 12:34
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 08:30
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 08:30
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 12:29
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 12:30
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 12:29
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 12:29
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 12:30
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -7.94%E -3.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 12:40
BetUS2.03I 49.26%NM 45.28%EV -7.94%E -3.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.66%E -3.07%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 12:40
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.16%EV -7.94%E -3.91%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 08:30
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 12:00
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 12:00
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 12:01
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 12:00
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 12:01
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.66%E -3.07%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 12:39
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -3.91%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-04 12:29
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 12:00
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 12:30
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 12:38
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 08:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 12:29
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 12:29
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 08:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-04 08:30
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.30%E -4.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-04 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -15.60%E -4.80%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -19.69%E -7.03%K -10.94%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-03 12:54
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -10.21%E -5.16%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -10.66%E -5.41%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 12:00
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -11.11%E -5.67%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.66%E -3.07%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-04 12:00
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.57%E -5.93%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 12:28
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.57%E -5.93%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-04 12:30
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.38%EV -12.02%E -6.20%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -14.30%E -4.33%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -9.66%E -3.07%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 08:30
LeoVegas1.93I 51.81%NM 46.04%EV -12.47%E -6.46%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.75%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -9.66%E -3.07%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 12:00
PMU (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -12.93%E -6.73%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 12:00
Unibet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -12.93%E -6.73%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-04 12:30
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.57%EV -14.74%E -7.84%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.58%EV -13.00%E -3.88%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 28.85%EV -14.82%E -4.99%K -7.52%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-04 12:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-04 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.3%2026-04-04 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.3%2026-04-04 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.3%2026-04-04 12:39
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.3%2026-04-04 12:30
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70%2.0%2026-04-04 12:40