La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Raków Częstochowa v Widzew Łódź
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Raków Częstochowa (Local)
Predicción 45.35%2.21momio equitativo
EV -3.86%
Ventaja -1.82%
Kelly -3.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.92%45.31%45.37%46.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.022.022.1253.19%49.49%49.50%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Widzew Łódź (Visitante)
Predicción 25.97%3.85momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.347%
Kelly -0.470%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.96%25.97%26.00%27.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.523.553.8030.77%28.37%28.17%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.68%3.49momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -0.731%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.62%28.72%28.63%30.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.193.203.4035.71%31.31%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.45%EV -3.86%E -1.82%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.36%EV -1.32%E -0.347%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.20%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 12:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.45%EV -3.86%E -1.82%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.36%EV -1.32%E -0.347%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.20%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.61%EV -4.31%E -2.04%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.40%EV -1.58%E -0.416%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.99%EV -4.78%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -2.49%E -0.731%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 12:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.49%E -0.731%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 12:33 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -5.67%E -2.73%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.99%EV -6.13%E -2.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.09%EV -7.29%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.92%EV -7.65%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 12:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 12:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 12:01 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 12:34 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -7.94%E -3.91%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |
| BetUS | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.28%EV -7.94%E -3.91%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.66%E -3.07%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.16%EV -7.94%E -3.91%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 12:01 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 12:01 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.66%E -3.07%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 12:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -3.91%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 12:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 12:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.30%E -4.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-04 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -15.60%E -4.80%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -19.69%E -7.03%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-03 12:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -10.21%E -5.16%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -10.66%E -5.41%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -11.11%E -5.67%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.66%E -3.07%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.57%E -5.93%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 12:28 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.57%E -5.93%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.38%EV -12.02%E -6.20%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -14.30%E -4.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -9.66%E -3.07%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.04%EV -12.47%E -6.46%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.75%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -9.66%E -3.07%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -12.93%E -6.73%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -12.93%E -6.73%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-04 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.57%EV -14.74%E -7.84%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.58%EV -13.00%E -3.88%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 28.85%EV -14.82%E -4.99%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.3% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.3% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.3% | 2026-04-04 12:39 |
| Matchbook | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.3% | 2026-04-04 12:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70% | 2.0% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |