L’École des cotesRaków Częstochowa v Widzew Łódź
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Raków Częstochowa (Local)
Prévision 45.35%2.21cote équitable
EV -3.86%
Avantage -1.82%
Kelly -3.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.92%45.31%45.37%46.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.882.022.022.1253.19%49.49%49.50%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Widzew Łódź (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.97%3.85cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.347%
Kelly -0.470%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.96%25.97%26.00%27.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.523.553.8030.77%28.37%28.17%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.68%3.49cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -0.731%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.62%28.72%28.63%30.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.193.203.4035.71%31.31%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.45%EV -3.86%E -1.82%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.36%EV -1.32%E -0.347%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.20%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 12:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.45%EV -3.86%E -1.82%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.36%EV -1.32%E -0.347%K -0.470%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.20%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.61%EV -4.31%E -2.04%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.40%EV -1.58%E -0.416%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.99%EV -4.78%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |
| Coolbet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -2.49%E -0.731%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 12:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.77%E -2.27%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.49%E -0.731%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 12:33 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -5.67%E -2.73%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.99%EV -6.13%E -2.96%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.09%EV -7.29%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.92%EV -7.65%E -2.38%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 12:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 12:01 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.21%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 12:01 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 12:34 |
| Betsson | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.03%E -3.43%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -7.94%E -3.91%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |
| BetUS | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.28%EV -7.94%E -3.91%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -9.66%E -3.07%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.16%EV -7.94%E -3.91%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.65%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 12:01 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.82%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 12:01 |
| PlayUp | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -8.39%E -4.15%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.66%E -3.07%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 12:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -3.91%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -6.51%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-04 12:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 12:38 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 12:29 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -14.30%E -4.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-04 12:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.92%EV -9.30%E -4.65%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -15.60%E -4.80%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.66%EV -19.69%E -7.03%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-03 12:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.95%EV -10.21%E -5.16%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -10.66%E -5.41%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -7.81%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.82%EV -11.11%E -5.67%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -9.11%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -9.66%E -3.07%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.57%E -5.93%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 12:28 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -11.57%E -5.93%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-04 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.38%EV -12.02%E -6.20%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -14.30%E -4.33%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -9.66%E -3.07%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.04%EV -12.47%E -6.46%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.75%EV -10.41%E -3.02%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -9.66%E -3.07%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -12.93%E -6.73%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -12.93%E -6.73%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-04 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 45.57%EV -14.74%E -7.84%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.58%EV -13.00%E -3.88%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 28.85%EV -14.82%E -4.99%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.51% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.3% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.3% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.3% | 2026-04-04 12:39 |
| Matchbook | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.30% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02% | 1.3% | 2026-04-04 12:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.70% | 2.0% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |