Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Raków Częstochowa v Górnik Zabrze

Początek: 2026-09-03 16:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Raków Częstochowa 1–2 Górnik Zabrze

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Raków Częstochowa (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 34.90%2.87kurs godziwy
EV +2.59%
Przewaga +0.882%
Kelly +1.34%
Wzrost +0.035%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.94

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
32.34%35.02%34.76%37.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.382.582.552.9442.02%38.79%39.22%34.01%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Górnik Zabrze (Goście)

Prognoza 37.67%2.65kurs godziwy
EV -0.936%
Przewaga -0.356%
Kelly -0.574%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.63

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
35.47%37.63%37.73%40.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.472.452.6343.48%40.48%40.82%38.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 27.44%3.64kurs godziwy
EV -1.22%
Przewaga -0.340%
Kelly -0.471%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.60

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.60%27.35%27.50%28.94%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.343.303.6032.26%29.97%30.30%27.78%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Raków Częstochowa (Gospodarze): 34.90%; Górnik Zabrze (Goście): 37.67%; Remis: 27.44%. Dla wyniku Raków Częstochowa (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.87. 1 bukmacher oferował kurs zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.94, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +2.59%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.34%EV +2.59%E +0.882%K +1.34%G +0.035%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.28%EV -8.85%E -3.66%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 15:55
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.41%EV -2.29%E -0.819%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.34%EV -2.82%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.25%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -2.29%E -0.819%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -13.37%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 15:55
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.04%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -4.39%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -4.39%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.78%E -2.14%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 15:50
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.78%E -2.14%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 15:40
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -5.78%E -2.14%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 15:55
Bovada🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.34%EV -6.13%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.24%EV -6.59%E -2.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 15:49
BetUS🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.34%EV -6.13%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.24%EV -6.59%E -2.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.71%EV -6.83%E -2.56%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.21%EV -6.21%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 15:45
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -7.53%E -2.84%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.44%EV -3.95%E -1.55%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -1.22%E -0.340%K -0.471%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -7.53%E -2.84%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.75%EV -8.09%E -3.32%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -8.23%E -3.13%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 15:55
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -8.23%E -3.13%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -10.35%E -4.35%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.94%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 15:55
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 15:50
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 15:50
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-03 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-03 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-03 15:50
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-03 15:55
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 15:55
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -9.27%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 15:45
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.27%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-03 15:50
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -11.02%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 15:44
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -11.02%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 15:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -11.02%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 15:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.62%EV -11.02%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.05%EV -12.61%E -5.44%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.33%EV -11.38%E -3.52%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-03 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -11.02%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -13.37%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-03 15:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -11.02%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.79%EV -12.61%E -5.44%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -13.57%E -4.31%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-03 15:55
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:30
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:30
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:30
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:30
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 15:50
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-03 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -11.48%E -4.89%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-03 15:50
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -10.73%E -4.53%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -10.73%E -4.53%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 15:45
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.20%E -6.26%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.58%EV -3.95%E -1.55%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 15:30
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -16.25%E -6.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-03 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 15:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 15:50
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.57%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -13.37%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-03 15:10
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Smarkets◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94%0.8%2026-09-03 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94%0.8%2026-09-03 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94%0.8%2026-09-03 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94%0.8%2026-09-03 15:55
Matchbook◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94%0.8%2026-09-03 15:50
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-09-03 15:45