Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Raków Częstochowa v Górnik Zabrze

Inizio: 2026-09-03 16:00 UTC

Finale: Raków Częstochowa 1–2 Górnik Zabrze

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

52 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Raków Częstochowa (Casa)

Previsione 34.90%2.87quota equa
EV +2.59%
Vantaggio +0.882%
Kelly +1.34%
Crescita +0.035%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.94

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.34%35.02%34.76%37.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.582.552.9442.02%38.79%39.22%34.01%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Górnik Zabrze (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.67%2.65quota equa
EV -0.936%
Vantaggio -0.356%
Kelly -0.574%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.47%37.63%37.73%40.03%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.472.452.6343.48%40.48%40.82%38.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.44%3.64quota equa
EV -1.22%
Vantaggio -0.340%
Kelly -0.471%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.60%27.35%27.50%28.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.343.303.6032.26%29.97%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Raków Częstochowa (Casa): 34.90%; Górnik Zabrze (Trasferta): 37.67%; Pareggio: 27.44%. Per Raków Częstochowa (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.87. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.94, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.59%.

Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.34%EV +2.59%E +0.882%K +1.34%G +0.035%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.28%EV -8.85%E -3.66%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 15:55
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.41%EV -2.29%E -0.819%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.34%EV -2.82%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.25%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -2.29%E -0.819%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -13.37%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 15:55
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.04%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -4.39%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -4.39%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.78%E -2.14%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 15:50
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.78%E -2.14%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 15:40
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -5.78%E -2.14%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 15:55
Bovada🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.34%EV -6.13%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.24%EV -6.59%E -2.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 15:49
BetUS🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.34%EV -6.13%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.24%EV -6.59%E -2.66%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.71%EV -6.83%E -2.56%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.21%EV -6.21%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 15:45
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -7.53%E -2.84%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.44%EV -3.95%E -1.55%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -1.22%E -0.340%K -0.471%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 15:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -7.53%E -2.84%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.75%EV -8.09%E -3.32%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -8.23%E -3.13%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 15:55
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -8.23%E -3.13%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -10.35%E -4.35%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.94%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 15:55
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 15:50
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 15:50
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-03 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-03 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-03 15:50
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-03 15:55
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 15:55
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -9.27%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 15:45
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.27%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-03 15:50
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -11.02%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 15:44
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -11.02%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 15:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -11.02%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 15:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.62%EV -11.02%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.05%EV -12.61%E -5.44%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.33%EV -11.38%E -3.52%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-03 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -11.02%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -13.37%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-03 15:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -11.02%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.79%EV -12.61%E -5.44%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -13.57%E -4.31%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-03 15:55
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:30
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:30
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:30
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:30
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 15:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 15:50
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-03 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -11.48%E -4.89%K -8.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-03 15:50
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -10.73%E -4.53%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -10.73%E -4.53%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-03 15:45
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.20%E -6.26%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.58%EV -3.95%E -1.55%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 15:30
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -16.25%E -6.77%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-03 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 15:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 15:50
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.57%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -13.37%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-03 15:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94%0.8%2026-09-03 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94%0.8%2026-09-03 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94%0.8%2026-09-03 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94%0.8%2026-09-03 15:55
Matchbook◎2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94%0.8%2026-09-03 15:50
Kalshi◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-09-03 15:45