Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.94
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Raków Częstochowa (Local): 34.90%; Górnik Zabrze (Visitante): 37.67%; Empate: 27.44%. Para Raków Częstochowa (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.87. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.94, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.59%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.34%EV +2.59%E +0.882%K +1.34%G +0.035% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.28%EV -8.85%E -3.66%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.41%EV -2.29%E -0.819%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.34%EV -2.82%E -1.09%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.25%EV -6.44%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -2.29%E -0.819%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -13.37%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.04%E -1.47%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -4.39%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.32%EV -4.39%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.74%EV -3.57%E -1.40%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.78%E -2.14%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -5.78%E -2.14%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -5.78%E -2.14%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.34%EV -6.13%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.24%EV -6.59%E -2.66%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-03 15:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.34%EV -6.13%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.24%EV -6.59%E -2.66%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.71%EV -6.83%E -2.56%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.21%EV -6.21%E -2.49%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -7.53%E -2.84%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.44%EV -3.95%E -1.55%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -1.22%E -0.340%K -0.471%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.76%EV -7.53%E -2.84%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.75%EV -8.09%E -3.32%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.27%EV -8.23%E -3.13%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.56%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -8.23%E -3.13%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -10.35%E -4.35%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.94%E -4.82%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.36%EV -8.57%E -3.27%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -9.27%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.27%E -3.57%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -11.02%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-03 15:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -11.02%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -3.97%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-03 15:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -11.02%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.62%EV -11.02%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.05%EV -12.61%E -5.44%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.33%EV -11.38%E -3.52%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -11.02%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -13.37%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.20%E -3.81%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -11.02%E -4.32%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.79%EV -12.61%E -5.44%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -13.57%E -4.31%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.53%EV -0.936%E -0.356%K -0.574%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.34%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.72%E -3.15%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.60%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.59%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -11.48%E -4.89%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.56%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -10.73%E -4.53%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -12.76%E -5.10%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -10.73%E -4.53%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -15.20%E -6.26%K -10.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.58%EV -3.95%E -1.55%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -8.08%E -2.41%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -16.25%E -6.77%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.45%E -2.87%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-03 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -5.83%E -2.33%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -10.83%E -3.33%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.57%EV -16.95%E -7.12%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -13.37%E -5.81%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -6.71%E -1.97%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-03 15:10 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.20% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.94% | 0.8% | 2026-09-03 15:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.28% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.0% | 2026-09-03 15:45 |