L’École des cotesRaków Częstochowa v Arka Gdynia
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Raków Częstochowa (Local)
Prévision 74.22%1.35cote équitable
EV -5.74%
Avantage -4.52%
Kelly -21.26%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.19%74.14%74.19%76.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.161.241.251.2786.21%80.83%80.00%78.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Arka Gdynia (Visiteur)
Prévision 9.39%10.65cote équitable
EV +5.14%
Avantage +0.459%
Kelly +0.504%
Croissance +0.026%
avec la cote maximale 11.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.29%9.44%9.42%11.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
8.009.7710.0011.2012.50%10.23%10.00%8.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 16.39%6.10cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -0.275%
Kelly -0.330%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 6.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.96%16.41%16.39%18.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.555.506.0020.00%18.02%18.18%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.31%EV -7.22%E -5.78%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.29%EV +5.14%E +0.459%K +0.504%G +0.026% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.39%EV -12.47%E -2.33%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.83%EV -5.74%E -4.52%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +3.26%E +0.297%K +0.326%G +0.011% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.53%EV -5.75%E -1.000%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Unibet | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.78%EV -6.48%E -5.14%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -1.43%E -0.136%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -4.93%E -0.850%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.78%EV -6.48%E -5.14%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -1.43%E -0.136%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -4.93%E -0.850%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.78%EV -6.48%E -5.14%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -1.43%E -0.136%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -4.93%E -0.850%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.78%EV -6.48%E -5.14%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV -1.43%E -0.136%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -4.93%E -0.850%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -10.94%E -9.11%K -54.68%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -1.43%E -0.136%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -1.65%E -0.275%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -10.94%E -9.11%K -54.68%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -1.43%E -0.136%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -1.65%E -0.275%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.74%EV -9.45%E -7.75%K -42.96%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -1.43%E -0.136%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-23 15:28 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.63%EV -5.74%E -4.52%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 10.44I 9.58%NM 9.08%EV -1.99%E -0.191%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 5.82I 17.18%NM 16.29%EV -4.60%E -0.790%K -0.954%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.71%EV -7.97%E -6.42%K -33.19%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.04%EV -3.78%E -0.368%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.25%EV -6.57%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.74%E -4.52%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.75%E -1.000%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.74%E -4.52%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.75%E -1.000%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| DraftKings | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -5.74%E -4.52%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.75%E -1.000%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Casumo | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.22%E -5.78%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.75%E -1.000%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.22%E -5.78%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.75%E -1.000%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.22%E -5.78%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.75%E -1.000%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 15:25 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.22%E -5.78%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.75%E -1.000%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.22%E -5.78%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.75%E -1.000%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| betPARX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -7.22%E -5.78%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.31%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -5.75%E -1.000%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -7.22%E -5.78%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -9.45%E -7.75%K -42.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -1.65%E -0.275%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.48%EV -8.71%E -7.08%K -37.86%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.16%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.36%EV -8.21%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.22%E -5.78%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -18.04%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.22%E -5.78%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -18.04%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.22%E -5.78%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -18.04%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.73%EV -7.22%E -5.78%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -18.04%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -9.45%E -7.75%K -42.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -9.45%E -7.75%K -42.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.57%EV -10.19%E -8.42%K -48.54%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.06%EV -12.42%E -10.53%K -69.00%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.98%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -1.65%E -0.275%K -0.330%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.53%EV -10.94%E -9.11%K -54.68%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.82%EV -6.12%E -0.612%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -18.04%E -3.61%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betsson | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.10%EV -7.22%E -5.78%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.65%EV -9.88%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.25%EV -6.57%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.10%EV -7.22%E -5.78%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 9.65%EV -9.88%E -1.03%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.25%EV -6.57%E -1.15%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -5.74%E -4.52%K -21.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -10.82%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.59%EV -7.22%E -5.78%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -10.82%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 15:28 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.17%EV -7.97%E -6.42%K -33.19%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -10.82%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -13.94%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.06%EV -9.45%E -7.75%K -42.96%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -10.82%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.15%EV -10.94%E -9.11%K -54.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.37%EV -10.82%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.48%EV -11.48%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 74.25%EV -12.42%E -10.53%K -69.00%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.22%EV -10.82%E -1.14%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.53%EV -13.12%E -2.48%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.74%EV -7.22%E -5.78%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.81%EV -11.76%E -1.25%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -8.21%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 74.16%EV -13.90%E -11.99%K -86.90%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 9.30%EV -13.16%E -1.42%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.54%EV -14.76%E -2.84%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -6.48%E -5.14%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -15.51%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -6.48%E -5.14%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -15.51%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| BetUS | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.04%EV -6.48%E -5.14%K -24.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -15.51%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 73.99%EV -10.94%E -9.11%K -54.68%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -15.51%E -1.72%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.85%E -1.79%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.06%EV -10.19%E -8.42%K -48.54%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.10%EV -17.86%E -2.04%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.84%EV -13.94%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-23 15:28 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 73.14%EV -11.68%E -9.81%K -61.46%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.12%EV -19.27%E -2.24%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.74%EV -14.76%E -2.84%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.74%EV -7.97%E -6.42%K -33.19%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -20.20%E -2.38%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -3.29%E -0.557%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -7.22%E -5.78%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -20.20%E -2.38%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -13.94%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.19%EV -7.22%E -5.78%K -28.90%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.62%EV -20.20%E -2.38%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -13.94%E -2.66%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.71%EV -10.19%E -8.42%K -48.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.00%EV -24.90%E -3.11%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -11.48%E -2.13%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-23 15:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.73% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 1.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.73% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 1.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.73% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 1.3% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.51% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.57% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.92% | 1.6% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.40% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.74% | 1.7% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.28% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.87% | 1.9% | 2026-05-23 15:30 |