Language:English
Radomiak Radom v Piast Gliwice
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Radomiak Radom (Local)
Prediction 38.57%2.59fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.70%38.56%38.54%40.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.382.5145.45%42.26%42.02%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Piast Gliwice (Visit)
Prediction 34.88%2.87fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.54%34.93%34.89%36.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.642.632.7541.67%37.88%37.95%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.55%3.77fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.478%
Kelly -0.655%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.91%26.52%26.58%28.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.433.453.7031.25%29.15%29.03%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Radomiak Radom (Local): 38.57%; Piast Gliwice (Visit): 34.88%; Draw: 26.55%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -1.77%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.19%E -1.27%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.24%EV -4.78%E -1.75%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.43%EV -3.36%E -0.924%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.98%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.43%EV -6.52%E -2.43%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.60%EV -5.22%E -1.46%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-14 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -3.57%E -1.43%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -15.04%E -4.70%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -4.34%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV -5.82%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-14 16:36 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.06%EV -4.34%E -1.75%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.96%EV -5.82%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.26%EV -5.11%E -2.08%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -5.82%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-14 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.50%E -2.25%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-14 16:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.19%EV -7.04%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.13%EV -8.62%E -3.29%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.82%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-14 14:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-14 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 34.87%EV -7.92%E -3.00%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.76%EV -8.67%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.29%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.73%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.29%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.73%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.62%E -3.29%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.73%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 16:31 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.43%E -3.10%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.73%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-14 16:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -8.62%E -3.29%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 16:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-14 16:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.73%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.73%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-14 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-14 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.67%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.16%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.25%EV -8.20%E -3.45%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.47%EV -12.80%E -5.12%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -13.72%E -4.22%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-14 16:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.74%EV -8.59%E -3.62%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.65%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-14 14:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -9.36%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -5.82%E -2.16%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -1.77%E -0.478%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-14 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -9.36%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.73%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-14 16:31 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -9.36%E -3.98%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -11.06%E -3.30%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-14 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.94%EV -10.51%E -4.53%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.06%E -3.30%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -4.08%E -1.48%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-14 12:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-14 14:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -7.57%E -2.86%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.73%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-14 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.73%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-14 16:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -9.73%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-14 16:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.93%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -11.06%E -4.34%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-14 14:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -11.06%E -3.30%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 14:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -11.29%E -4.91%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -8.27%E -3.14%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -12.06%E -5.29%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -12.06%E -5.29%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -12.06%E -5.29%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -12.06%E -5.29%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-14 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.52%EV -12.44%E -5.48%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.98%EV -12.80%E -5.12%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -12.39%E -3.75%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-09-14 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -13.21%E -5.87%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -12.80%E -5.12%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -9.73%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-14 17:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -13.21%E -5.87%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.33%EV -16.29%E -6.79%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -7.08%E -2.02%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-14 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -15.14%E -6.88%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -9.31%E -3.58%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -9.73%E -2.86%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-14 16:31 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.15% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43% | 0.9% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.32% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.32% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.31% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.23% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.48% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.30% | 1.4% | 2026-09-14 16:56 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.22% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.28% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-09-14 16:46 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.18% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.41% | 2.3% | 2026-09-14 16:50 |