Language:English
Radomiak Radom v Motor Lublin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Radomiak Radom (Local)
Prediction 35.18%2.84fair odd
EV -0.087%
Edge -0.031%
Kelly -0.048%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.84
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.22%35.17%35.25%38.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.322.562.552.8443.10%39.11%39.22%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Motor Lublin (Visit)
Prediction 37.59%2.66fair odd
EV -0.398%
Edge -0.150%
Kelly -0.241%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.27%37.40%37.76%40.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.482.492.6546.51%40.35%40.16%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.23%3.67fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.544%
Kelly -0.753%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.56%27.43%26.99%30.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.363.353.6033.33%29.78%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Radomiak Radom (Local): 35.18%; Motor Lublin (Visit): 37.59%; Draw: 27.23%. For Radomiak Radom (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.842. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.840, with an expected value of -0.087%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.91%EV -0.087%E -0.031%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.18%EV -2.65%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.92%EV -9.31%E -2.80%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-12 15:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.22%EV -0.087%E -0.031%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.74%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.22%EV -0.087%E -0.031%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.74%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-12 15:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -1.49%E -0.534%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -1.49%E -0.534%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -12.85%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -3.25%E -1.18%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -18.30%E -6.10%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.75%EV -3.96%E -1.45%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.00%EV -6.41%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -14.21%E -4.51%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 33.75%EV -3.96%E -1.45%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.00%EV -6.41%E -2.58%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -14.21%E -4.51%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-12 15:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.79%EV -5.01%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.97%EV -14.21%E -4.51%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-12 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.77%E -2.56%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-12 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.77%E -2.56%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-12 15:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.22%EV -7.48%E -2.84%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.74%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -15.57%E -5.02%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-12 15:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.64%EV -7.48%E -2.84%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.87%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.49%EV -18.30%E -6.10%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-12 15:48 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-12 15:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-12 15:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-12 15:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.91%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.79%EV -9.04%E -3.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-12 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.91%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.79%EV -9.04%E -3.74%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-12 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.31%EV -7.83%E -2.99%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -15.57%E -5.02%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -8.53%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -2.28%E -0.876%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.96%E -0.544%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 15:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -8.53%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -8.67%E -3.57%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-12 15:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -8.53%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -10.55%E -4.43%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-12 15:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -8.53%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -10.55%E -4.43%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-12 15:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -8.53%E -3.28%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-12 15:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -10.29%E -4.04%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -1.96%E -0.544%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -10.29%E -4.04%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -1.96%E -0.544%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -10.29%E -4.04%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.79%E -4.08%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-12 15:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%EV -10.29%E -4.04%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.09%EV -19.19%E -8.93%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-10-12 15:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 34.77%EV -11.35%E -4.50%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -14.30%E -6.27%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.80%EV -10.95%E -3.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-12 15:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -12.05%E -4.82%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-12 15:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -12.05%E -4.82%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -11.67%E -4.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-12 15:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -12.05%E -4.82%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -10.92%E -4.61%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-12 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -12.05%E -4.82%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -10.92%E -4.61%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-12 15:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -12.05%E -4.82%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -13.55%E -5.89%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -15.57%E -5.02%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -13.81%E -5.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -0.398%E -0.150%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -3.32%E -0.935%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -13.81%E -5.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -0.398%E -0.150%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -3.32%E -0.935%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -13.81%E -5.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -0.398%E -0.150%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -3.32%E -0.935%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -13.81%E -5.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -0.398%E -0.150%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -3.32%E -0.935%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -13.81%E -5.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -0.398%E -0.150%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -3.32%E -0.935%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -13.81%E -5.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -0.398%E -0.150%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -3.32%E -0.935%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -13.81%E -5.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -0.398%E -0.150%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -3.32%E -0.935%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -13.81%E -5.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -0.398%E -0.150%K -0.241%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -3.32%E -0.935%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -13.81%E -5.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-12 15:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -13.81%E -5.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-12 15:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.72%EV -13.81%E -5.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 36.93%EV -10.92%E -4.61%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -12.85%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.09%EV -15.57%E -6.49%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -7.92%E -3.23%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.12%EV -16.27%E -6.84%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.58%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-12 15:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.27%EV -17.33%E -7.37%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -4.16%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -7.40%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.16%EV -18.38%E -7.92%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-12 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.16%EV -18.38%E -7.92%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-12 15:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.16%EV -18.38%E -7.92%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-12 15:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.16%EV -18.38%E -7.92%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.41%EV -6.04%E -2.41%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.43%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-12 15:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.97% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75% | 0.8% | 2026-10-12 15:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-10-12 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-10-12 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-10-12 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.12% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68% | 1.1% | 2026-10-12 15:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.18% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-10-12 15:55 |