默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Radomiak Radom v Motor Lublin

2026-10-12 16:00 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Radomiak Radom (主队)

预测 40.43%2.47公平赔率
EV +1.48%
优势 +0.588%
Kelly +0.978%
增长率 +0.014%

假设最高赔率为 2.51

博彩公司预测分布
37.76%40.38%40.25%42.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.232.222.5148.78%44.85%45.05%39.84%最小值均值中位数最大值

Motor Lublin (客队)

预测 32.52%3.08公平赔率
EV -1.46%
优势 -0.483%
Kelly -0.722%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.03

博彩公司预测分布
31.28%32.51%32.50%33.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.602.792.753.0338.46%35.85%36.36%33.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.05%3.70公平赔率
EV +0.630%
优势 +0.169%
Kelly +0.232%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.72

博彩公司预测分布
24.73%27.11%27.25%30.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.063.363.303.7232.68%29.75%30.30%26.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Radomiak Radom (主队):40.43%;Motor Lublin (客队):32.52%;平局:27.05%。 对于“Radomiak Radom (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.47。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为2.51,由此产生+1.48%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.76%EV +1.48%E +0.588%K +0.978%G +0.014%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.28%EV -1.46%E -0.483%K -0.722%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.97%EV -17.22%E -5.63%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-29 15:35
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -4.99%E -2.12%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.32%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-29 15:32
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.01%E -3.05%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.03%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-29 16:14
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.01%E -3.05%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -7.32%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-29 13:10
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -7.01%E -3.05%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -7.32%E -2.57%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-29 13:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.01%E -3.05%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-29 15:35
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.01%E -3.05%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.73%E -3.25%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-29 15:34
1xBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.33%EV -9.44%E -4.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.79%EV -10.90%E -3.98%K -6.26%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.89%EV +0.630%E +0.169%K +0.232%G +0.001%8.0%2026-09-29 13:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.44%EV -10.25%E -4.62%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -11.55%E -4.24%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.73%EV +0.630%E +0.169%K +0.232%G +0.001%8.7%2026-09-29 16:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.56%EV -11.86%E -5.44%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.81%EV -9.59%E -3.45%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.44%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-29 13:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -13.08%E -6.08%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-29 15:29
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -13.08%E -6.08%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-29 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -13.08%E -6.08%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-29 15:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -13.08%E -6.08%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -12.20%E -4.52%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -12.08%E -3.72%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-29 13:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.27%EV -13.08%E -6.08%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.67%EV -13.82%E -5.22%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.06%EV -13.44%E -4.20%K -6.11%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-29 13:10
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -15.10%E -7.19%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -15.45%E -5.94%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -5.32%E -1.52%K -2.13%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-29 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.31%EV -17.12%E -8.35%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.37%EV -12.20%E -4.52%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.32%EV -16.14%E -5.21%K -7.69%G +0.000%18.1%2026-09-29 13:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

套利(2 种组合) +0.28%Pinnacle 2.51 (40.0%) / Pinnacle 3.03 (33.1%) / 1xBet 3.72 (27.0%)显示全部 2 种组合
Radomiak Radom (主队)Motor Lublin (客队)平局利润率
Pinnacle🎯 2.51 (40.0%)Pinnacle🎯 3.03 (33.1%)1xBet🎯 3.72 (27.0%)+0.275%
Pinnacle🎯 2.51 (40.0%)Pinnacle🎯 3.03 (33.1%)Marathon Bet🎯 3.72 (27.0%)+0.275%