La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Radomiak Radom v Lechia Gdańsk
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Radomiak Radom (Casa)
Previsione 37.18%2.69quota equa
EV -0.743%
Vantaggio -0.278%
Kelly -0.445%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.67
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.17%37.22%37.35%40.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.172.412.402.6746.08%41.44%41.67%37.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Lechia Gdańsk (Trasferta)
Previsione 35.66%2.80quota equa
EV +2.69%
Vantaggio +0.934%
Kelly +1.43%
Crescita +0.038%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.88
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.59%35.54%35.70%36.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.642.602.8843.48%37.92%38.46%34.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 27.17%3.68quota equa
EV -2.19%
Vantaggio -0.609%
Kelly -0.843%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.92%27.24%26.95%28.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.363.353.6033.33%29.76%29.85%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -5.93%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV +2.69%E +0.934%K +1.43%G +0.038% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -5.93%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV +2.69%E +0.934%K +1.43%G +0.038% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -5.93%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV +2.69%E +0.934%K +1.43%G +0.038% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -5.93%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV +2.69%E +0.934%K +1.43%G +0.038% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -14.50%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +1.62%E +0.568%K +0.875%G +0.014% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -14.50%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +1.62%E +0.568%K +0.875%G +0.014% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -14.50%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +1.62%E +0.568%K +0.875%G +0.014% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -14.50%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +1.62%E +0.568%K +0.875%G +0.014% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -14.50%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +1.62%E +0.568%K +0.875%G +0.014% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -15.24%E -6.68%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -0.164%E -0.058%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -16.36%E -7.27%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -0.164%E -0.058%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-04 16:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -16.36%E -7.27%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -0.164%E -0.058%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -17.10%E -7.67%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -1.95%E -0.708%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.09%EV -0.743%E -0.278%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.56%EV -3.37%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.34%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-04 16:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 16:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -18.21%E -8.28%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.63%EV -19.33%E -8.91%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 16:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.39%EV -1.11%E -0.419%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.65%EV -5.87%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.39%EV -1.11%E -0.419%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.65%EV -5.87%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-04 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-04 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-04 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.61%EV -5.95%E -2.35%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.49%EV -6.94%E -2.66%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -9.80%E -2.95%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 16:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.61%EV -5.95%E -2.35%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.49%EV -6.94%E -2.66%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -9.80%E -2.95%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 16:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.34%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 16:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.49%E -0.561%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 16:52 |
| BetUS | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 16:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 16:39 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-04 16:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-04 16:38 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%EV -11.90%E -5.02%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%EV -11.90%E -5.02%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.31%EV -7.81%E -3.15%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Betsson | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.31%EV -7.81%E -3.15%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 16:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.20%EV -8.55%E -3.48%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.89%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -12.64%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.86%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 16:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.86%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.86%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-04 16:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.86%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-04 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -16.36%E -7.27%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -10.86%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-04 16:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.66%EV -12.64%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.68%EV -11.57%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.66%EV -9.80%E -2.95%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-04 16:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.47%EV -14.50%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.17%EV -12.64%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.36%EV -14.42%E -4.58%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -12.64%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.53%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.56%EV -11.52%E -4.84%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.25%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-04 16:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -17.99%E -7.82%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -18.49%E -6.16%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-04 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.91% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.91% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.91% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.84% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-05-04 16:55 |