مدرسة الاحتمالات

Radomiak Radom v Lechia Gdańsk

البداية: 2026-05-04 17:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Radomiak Radom 3–1 Lechia Gdańsk

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Radomiak Radom (المضيف)

التنبؤ 37.18%2.69السعر العادل
EV -0.743%
الأفضلية -0.278%
Kelly -0.445%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.67

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.17%37.22%37.35%40.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.172.412.402.6746.08%41.44%41.67%37.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Lechia Gdańsk (الضيف)

التنبؤ 35.66%2.80السعر العادل
EV +2.69%
الأفضلية +0.934%
Kelly +1.43%
النمو +0.038%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.88

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.59%35.54%35.70%36.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.302.642.602.8843.48%37.92%38.46%34.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.17%3.68السعر العادل
EV -2.19%
الأفضلية -0.609%
Kelly -0.843%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.92%27.24%26.95%28.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.363.353.6033.33%29.76%29.85%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -5.93%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV +2.69%E +0.934%K +1.43%G +0.038%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 16:10
Unibet (NL)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -5.93%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV +2.69%E +0.934%K +1.43%G +0.038%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 16:10
Unibet (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -5.93%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV +2.69%E +0.934%K +1.43%G +0.038%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 16:10
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -5.93%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV +2.69%E +0.934%K +1.43%G +0.038%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-04 16:10
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -14.50%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +1.62%E +0.568%K +0.875%G +0.014%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 00:00
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -14.50%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +1.62%E +0.568%K +0.875%G +0.014%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-30 23:59
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -14.50%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +1.62%E +0.568%K +0.875%G +0.014%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-30 23:59
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -14.50%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +1.62%E +0.568%K +0.875%G +0.014%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 00:00
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -14.50%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +1.62%E +0.568%K +0.875%G +0.014%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -15.24%E -6.68%K -11.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -0.164%E -0.058%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -16.36%E -7.27%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -0.164%E -0.058%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 16:09
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -16.36%E -7.27%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -0.164%E -0.058%K -0.091%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 16:10
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -17.10%E -7.67%K -13.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -1.95%E -0.708%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-04 16:10
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 36.09%EV -0.743%E -0.278%K -0.445%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.56%EV -3.37%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.34%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-04 16:50
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 16:29
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -18.21%E -8.28%K -15.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-01 00:00
PMU (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.63%EV -19.33%E -8.91%K -16.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-04 16:10
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-04 16:09
BetOnline.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.39%EV -1.11%E -0.419%K -0.671%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.65%EV -5.87%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 16:40
LowVig.ag2.66I 37.59%NM 35.39%EV -1.11%E -0.419%K -0.671%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.65%EV -5.87%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 16:40
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-04 16:30
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-04 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-04 16:30
Marathon Bet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.61%EV -5.95%E -2.35%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.49%EV -6.94%E -2.66%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -9.80%E -2.95%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-04 16:50
1xBet2.53I 39.53%NM 36.61%EV -5.95%E -2.35%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.49%EV -6.94%E -2.66%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -9.80%E -2.95%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-04 16:55
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.34%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 16:45
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.49%E -0.561%K -0.901%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:55
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 16:40
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 16:52
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 16:54
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 16:39
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-04 16:40
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-04 16:30
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 16:38
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%EV -11.90%E -5.02%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%EV -11.90%E -5.02%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-04 16:10
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.31%EV -7.81%E -3.15%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-04 16:40
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.31%EV -7.81%E -3.15%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-04 16:40
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-04 16:54
Codere (IT)2.46I 40.65%NM 37.20%EV -8.55%E -3.48%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.89%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-04 16:40
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-04 16:30
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-04 16:40
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -12.64%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-04 16:40
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.86%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-04 16:39
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.86%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-04 16:40
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.86%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-04 16:55
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.86%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-04 16:55
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -16.36%E -7.27%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -10.86%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-04 16:39
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.66%EV -12.64%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.68%EV -11.57%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.66%EV -9.80%E -2.95%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-04 16:39
NetBet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.47%EV -14.50%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.17%EV -12.64%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.36%EV -14.42%E -4.58%K -6.71%G +0.000%16.0%2026-05-04 16:40
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -12.64%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.53%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-04 16:40
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.56%EV -11.52%E -4.84%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.25%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-04 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -17.99%E -7.82%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -18.49%E -6.16%K -9.25%G +0.000%18.5%2026-05-04 16:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.91%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.91%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.91%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-05-04 16:55
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-05-04 16:40
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.84%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-05-04 16:55