La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Radomiak Radom v Lechia Gdańsk
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Radomiak Radom (Local)
Predicción 37.18%2.69momio equitativo
EV -0.743%
Ventaja -0.278%
Kelly -0.445%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.17%37.22%37.35%40.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.172.412.402.6746.08%41.44%41.67%37.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lechia Gdańsk (Visitante)
Predicción 35.66%2.80momio equitativo
EV +2.69%
Ventaja +0.934%
Kelly +1.43%
Crecimiento +0.038%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.59%35.54%35.70%36.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.642.602.8843.48%37.92%38.46%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.17%3.68momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.609%
Kelly -0.843%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.92%27.24%26.95%28.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.363.353.6033.33%29.76%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -5.93%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV +2.69%E +0.934%K +1.43%G +0.038% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -5.93%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV +2.69%E +0.934%K +1.43%G +0.038% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -5.93%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV +2.69%E +0.934%K +1.43%G +0.038% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -13.75%E -5.93%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.63%EV +2.69%E +0.934%K +1.43%G +0.038% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -14.50%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +1.62%E +0.568%K +0.875%G +0.014% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -14.50%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +1.62%E +0.568%K +0.875%G +0.014% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -14.50%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +1.62%E +0.568%K +0.875%G +0.014% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -14.50%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +1.62%E +0.568%K +0.875%G +0.014% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -14.50%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV +1.62%E +0.568%K +0.875%G +0.014% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -15.24%E -6.68%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -0.164%E -0.058%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-30 23:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -16.36%E -7.27%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -0.164%E -0.058%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-04 16:09 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -16.36%E -7.27%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -0.164%E -0.058%K -0.091%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.54%EV -17.10%E -7.67%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -1.95%E -0.708%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.09%EV -0.743%E -0.278%K -0.445%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.56%EV -3.37%E -1.24%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.34%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-04 16:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 16:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.46%EV -18.21%E -8.28%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.57%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-01 00:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.63%EV -19.33%E -8.91%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.65%EV -3.73%E -1.38%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.51%E -2.08%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 16:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.39%EV -1.11%E -0.419%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.65%EV -5.87%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.39%EV -1.11%E -0.419%K -0.671%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.65%EV -5.87%E -2.22%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-04 16:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-04 16:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -6.58%E -2.51%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-04 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.61%EV -5.95%E -2.35%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.49%EV -6.94%E -2.66%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -9.80%E -2.95%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 16:50 |
| 1xBet | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.61%EV -5.95%E -2.35%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 35.49%EV -6.94%E -2.66%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.90%EV -9.80%E -2.95%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 16:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.34%E -1.29%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 16:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -1.49%E -0.561%K -0.901%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 16:52 |
| BetUS | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-04 16:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 16:39 |
| betfred_uk | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-04 16:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-04 16:38 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%EV -11.90%E -5.02%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%EV -11.90%E -5.02%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -7.29%E -2.81%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-04 16:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.31%EV -7.81%E -3.15%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Betsson | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.31%EV -7.81%E -3.15%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.87%EV -8.01%E -3.10%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.82%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -5.20%E -2.04%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.91%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-04 16:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.20%EV -8.55%E -3.48%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.89%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-04 16:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.21%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.50%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.29%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -12.64%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -9.08%E -3.56%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Bet Victor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -8.92%E -3.64%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -10.86%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-04 16:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.86%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.86%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-04 16:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -7.06%E -2.82%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.86%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-04 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -16.36%E -7.27%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -10.86%E -4.34%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-04 16:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.66%EV -12.64%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.68%EV -11.57%E -4.67%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.66%EV -9.80%E -2.95%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-04 16:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.47%EV -14.50%E -6.30%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.17%EV -12.64%E -5.16%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.36%EV -14.42%E -4.58%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.30%EV -12.64%E -5.38%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.53%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -8.98%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.56%EV -11.52%E -4.84%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.25%EV -14.43%E -6.01%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-04 16:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -10.78%E -4.49%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -17.99%E -7.82%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -18.49%E -6.16%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 18.5% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-05-04 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.91% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.91% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.91% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-05-04 16:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.84% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.10% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-05-04 16:55 |