Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Radomiak Radom v Górnik Zabrze

2026-08-08 12:45 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Radomiak Radom (Local)

Prediction 32.58%3.07fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.95%32.64%32.49%33.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.812.802.9538.02%35.64%35.65%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Górnik Zabrze (Visit)

Prediction 40.09%2.49fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -2.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.91%40.05%40.26%41.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.302.4147.62%43.94%43.48%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.33%3.66fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.16%27.30%27.25%27.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.353.5032.26%30.00%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Radomiak Radom (Local): 32.58%; Górnik Zabrze (Visit): 40.09%; Draw: 27.33%. For Górnik Zabrze (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.41, with an expected value of -3.38%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -3.90%E -1.32%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -4.33%E -1.24%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 19:05
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.53%E -1.91%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -7.06%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 19:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.06%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 19:10
NordicBet2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -8.60%E -3.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -7.06%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 18:49
Betsson2.88I 34.72%NM 32.15%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -8.60%E -3.77%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -7.06%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 18:49
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.18%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.80%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 19:00
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.06%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 19:10
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -9.80%E -4.35%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.06%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 18:49
SportsBet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.16%E -2.51%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.80%E -4.35%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.43%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 19:04
Pinnacle2.84I 35.21%NM 33.39%EV -7.48%E -2.63%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.35%EV -3.38%E -1.40%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.25%EV -4.88%E -1.40%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 23:35
1xBet2.83I 35.34%NM 32.93%EV -7.81%E -2.76%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -5.39%E -2.28%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.57%EV -7.61%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 23:39
Marathon Bet2.81I 35.59%NM 32.98%EV -8.46%E -3.01%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.60%EV -6.19%E -2.65%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.42%EV -7.61%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 23:34
betano_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.80%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 23:29
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.80%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 23:34
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.16%E -3.44%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 23:30
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.16%E -3.44%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 23:29
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -7.79%E -3.39%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -11.16%E -3.44%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 23:29
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.79%E -3.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.80%E -5.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.80%E -2.97%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 19:09
Bovada2.76I 36.23%NM 33.35%EV -10.09%E -3.66%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.17%EV -5.79%E -2.46%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.43%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 23:32
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -12.04%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.80%E -5.37%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -7.06%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-02 19:29
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -12.04%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.16%EV -13.81%E -6.42%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -15.26%E -4.92%K -7.27%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-02 19:10
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.95%EV -12.04%E -4.46%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.08%EV -15.81%E -7.53%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.96%EV -12.53%E -3.92%K -5.70%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-02 18:50
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -13.67%E -5.16%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.76%EV -13.81%E -6.42%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -8.43%E -2.52%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-02 19:30
Betclic (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.29%EV -14.32%E -5.45%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.91%EV -9.80%E -4.35%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.80%EV -13.90%E -4.41%K -6.46%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-02 23:43
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.