Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Radomiak Radom v Górnik Zabrze

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 12:45 UTC

Final: Radomiak Radom 1–3 Górnik Zabrze

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Radomiak Radom (Local)

Prediction 34.96%2.86fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -0.752%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.15%34.96%34.94%36.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.662.652.8042.02%37.57%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Górnik Zabrze (Visit)

Prediction 37.16%2.69fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.22%37.19%37.21%38.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.452.452.6043.86%40.79%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.87%3.59fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.697%
Kelly -0.976%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.58%27.85%27.85%29.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.283.303.5033.33%30.52%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Radomiak Radom (Local): 34.96%; Górnik Zabrze (Visit): 37.16%; Draw: 27.87%. For Radomiak Radom (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -2.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.37%EV -2.11%E -0.752%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.89%EV -5.61%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.74%EV -3.28%E -0.944%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-08 12:30
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -2.11%E -0.752%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -9.69%E -3.99%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 12:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -2.11%E -0.752%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -9.69%E -3.99%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -2.11%E -0.752%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -9.69%E -3.99%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 12:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -2.11%E -0.752%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -9.69%E -3.99%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 12:20
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -2.11%E -0.752%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -10.81%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 12:20
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -2.11%E -0.752%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -10.81%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 12:20
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -2.11%E -0.752%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -10.81%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -2.11%E -0.752%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -10.81%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 12:19
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -2.11%E -0.752%K -1.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -10.81%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-08 12:20
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -3.85%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.44%E -0.697%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 12:34
FanDuel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -3.85%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -3.38%E -1.30%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 12:25
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -3.85%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -11.55%E -4.85%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -3.85%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -12.67%E -5.39%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 12:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -3.85%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -12.67%E -5.39%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 12:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -3.85%E -1.40%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -12.67%E -5.39%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-08 12:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.59%EV -4.90%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.33%EV -6.35%E -2.52%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 12:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.59%EV -4.90%E -1.80%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.33%EV -6.35%E -2.52%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 12:30
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.60%E -2.07%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -3.83%E -1.11%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 12:30
1xBet🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.32%EV -5.95%E -2.21%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.82%EV -4.12%E -1.60%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.86%EV -4.95%E -1.45%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 12:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.69%EV -6.65%E -2.49%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.90%EV -6.72%E -2.68%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.41%EV -9.13%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 12:40
BetUS🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 34.60%EV -6.65%E -2.49%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.40%EV -8.21%E -3.32%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 12:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -7.35%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.23%E -2.05%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 11:40
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.35%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 12:34
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -7.35%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 12:34
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -7.35%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 12:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.29%EV -7.35%E -2.77%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.70%EV -15.27%E -6.70%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -12.20%E -3.87%K -5.67%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 12:25
Bovada🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 34.91%EV -7.70%E -2.92%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -7.84%E -3.16%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.48%EV -8.05%E -3.06%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.27%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 12:34
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -8.40%E -3.21%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -6.35%E -2.52%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 11:40
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.29%EV -8.40%E -3.21%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.69%EV -6.35%E -2.52%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 11:39
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.40%E -3.21%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-08 12:40
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.40%E -3.21%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 12:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.40%E -3.21%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.40%E -3.21%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 12:19
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.40%E -3.21%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -10.81%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 12:29
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -8.40%E -3.21%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 12:25
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -9.10%E -3.50%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.23%E -2.05%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 12:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -9.10%E -3.50%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.09%E -2.84%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 11:45
betano_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.10%E -3.50%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 12:23
Bet Victor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -9.10%E -3.50%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 12:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.10%E -3.50%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -10.81%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 12:35
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.10%E -3.50%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.81%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -9.41%E -2.89%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-08 12:30
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.26%EV -9.10%E -3.50%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -12.67%E -5.39%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 12:35
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -9.10%E -3.50%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -16.38%E -5.46%K -8.19%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-08 12:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -10.85%E -4.25%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 11:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 35.13%EV -11.89%E -4.72%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.20%EV -11.55%E -4.85%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.67%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 12:18
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -12.59%E -5.04%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.81%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 11:40
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -12.59%E -5.04%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.95%E -3.65%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 12:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -12.59%E -5.04%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.81%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -10.80%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.84%EV -12.59%E -5.04%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.06%EV -12.67%E -5.39%K -9.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-08 12:35
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.86%EV -16.79%E -7.05%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.55%EV -10.81%E -4.50%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.58%EV -8.01%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-08 11:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.47%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-08-08 12:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.47%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-08-08 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.47%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-08-08 12:35
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.47%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.76%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.77%0.7%2026-08-08 12:40
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.66%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-08-08 12:35
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.38%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.92%1.7%2026-08-08 12:30

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