默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pogoń Szczecin v Wisła Płock

开赛时间: 2026-09-07 18:30 UTC

最终结果: Pogoń Szczecin 1–1 Wisła Płock

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Pogoń Szczecin (主队)

预测 42.79%2.34公平赔率
EV -2.88%
优势 -1.27%
Kelly -2.26%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.27

博彩公司预测分布
41.31%43.04%42.70%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.102.102.2751.28%47.52%47.62%44.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

Wisła Płock (客队)

预测 29.85%3.35公平赔率
EV +2.98%
优势 +0.864%
Kelly +1.22%
增长率 +0.036%

假设最高赔率为 3.45

博彩公司预测分布
27.27%29.68%29.85%30.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.143.103.4534.48%31.82%32.26%28.99%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 27.36%3.65公平赔率
EV -1.49%
优势 -0.414%
Kelly -0.573%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布
26.10%27.28%27.45%28.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.363.353.6031.25%29.78%29.85%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Pogoń Szczecin (主队):42.79%;Wisła Płock (客队):29.85%;平局:27.36%。 对于“Wisła Płock (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.35。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.45,对应+2.98%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV +2.98%E +0.864%K +1.22%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV +2.98%E +0.864%K +1.22%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:15
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV +2.98%E +0.864%K +1.22%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:15
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV +2.98%E +0.864%K +1.22%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV +2.98%E +0.864%K +1.22%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:15
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV +2.98%E +0.864%K +1.22%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV +2.98%E +0.864%K +1.22%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV +2.98%E +0.864%K +1.22%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:15
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -14.43%E -7.21%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -1.50%E -0.453%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 18:14
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.95%EV -2.09%E -0.638%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.90%EV -3.40%E -0.964%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 18:25
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.39%EV -15.71%E -7.98%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -2.99%E -0.919%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.33%EV -16.14%E -8.23%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -2.99%E -0.919%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-07 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.33%EV -16.14%E -8.23%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -2.99%E -0.919%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-07 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -16.57%E -8.50%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -2.99%E -0.919%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-07 18:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -16.57%E -8.50%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -2.99%E -0.919%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-07 18:15
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.43%EV -2.88%E -1.27%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.82%EV -3.58%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.76%EV -5.05%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 18:25
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -7.15%E -3.30%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -1.49%E -0.414%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 18:25
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 18:25
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -10.15%E -4.83%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.23%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -12.29%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.23%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 18:10
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.15%E -4.83%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.09%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.71%EV -6.87%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.76%EV -8.60%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 18:10
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 18:15
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 18:24
Bovada🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -6.73%E -3.09%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 18:19
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 18:15
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.15%E -4.83%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 18:25
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.96%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 18:10
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.96%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 18:10
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.96%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.96%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -12.29%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -8.96%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-07 18:25
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 18:14
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 18:13
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -10.15%E -4.83%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 18:10
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.43%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.43%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.43%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 18:15
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -9.29%E -4.38%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 18:10
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.15%E -4.83%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-07 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.15%E -4.83%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-07 18:25
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.57%EV -12.29%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-07 18:25
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -12.29%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-07 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -12.29%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-07 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.16%EV -12.29%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.79%EV -11.35%E -3.82%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.06%EV -10.52%E -3.22%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 18:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.18%EV -12.29%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 18:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.45%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.09%EV -12.84%E -4.40%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -12.43%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-07 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -12.29%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.44%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-07 18:10
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.15%E -4.83%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -13.44%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-07 18:15
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -12.29%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -13.44%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-07 17:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 44.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 26.23%-1.0%2026-09-07 18:10
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-09-07 18:25
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-09-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-09-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-09-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-09-07 18:25