Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pogoń Szczecin v Wisła Płock

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-07 18:30 UTC

Score final : Pogoń Szczecin 1–1 Wisła Płock

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pogoń Szczecin (Local)

Prévision 42.79%2.34cote équitable
EV -2.88%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -2.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.31%43.04%42.70%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.952.102.102.2751.28%47.52%47.62%44.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Wisła Płock (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.85%3.35cote équitable
EV +2.98%
Avantage +0.864%
Kelly +1.22%
Croissance +0.036%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.27%29.68%29.85%30.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.143.103.4534.48%31.82%32.26%28.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.36%3.65cote équitable
EV -1.49%
Avantage -0.414%
Kelly -0.573%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.10%27.28%27.45%28.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.363.353.6031.25%29.78%29.85%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Pogoń Szczecin (Local) : 42.79% ; Wisła Płock (Visiteur) : 29.85% ; Match nul : 27.36%. Pour Wisła Płock (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.35. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.45, soit une espérance positive de +2.98%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV +2.98%E +0.864%K +1.22%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV +2.98%E +0.864%K +1.22%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:15
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV +2.98%E +0.864%K +1.22%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:15
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV +2.98%E +0.864%K +1.22%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV +2.98%E +0.864%K +1.22%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:15
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV +2.98%E +0.864%K +1.22%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV +2.98%E +0.864%K +1.22%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV +2.98%E +0.864%K +1.22%G +0.036%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-07 18:15
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -14.43%E -7.21%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -1.50%E -0.453%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-07 18:14
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.95%EV -2.09%E -0.638%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.90%EV -3.40%E -0.964%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 18:25
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.39%EV -15.71%E -7.98%K -16.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -2.99%E -0.919%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-07 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.33%EV -16.14%E -8.23%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -2.99%E -0.919%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-07 18:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.33%EV -16.14%E -8.23%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -2.99%E -0.919%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-07 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -16.57%E -8.50%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -2.99%E -0.919%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-07 18:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -16.57%E -8.50%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -2.99%E -0.919%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-07 18:15
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.43%EV -2.88%E -1.27%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.82%EV -3.58%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.76%EV -5.05%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 18:25
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -7.15%E -3.30%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -1.49%E -0.414%K -0.573%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-07 18:25
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.44%EV -5.02%E -2.26%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.44%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 18:25
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -10.15%E -4.83%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.23%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -12.29%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -4.23%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-07 18:10
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -10.15%E -4.83%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -4.48%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-07 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.53%EV -6.73%E -3.09%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.71%EV -6.87%E -2.20%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.76%EV -8.60%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 18:10
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 18:15
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 18:24
Bovada🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.30%EV -6.73%E -3.09%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 18:19
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 18:15
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.15%E -4.83%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 18:25
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.96%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 18:10
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.96%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 18:10
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.96%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.96%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-07 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -12.29%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -8.96%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-07 18:25
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 18:14
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.01%E -3.73%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-07 18:13
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -10.15%E -4.83%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -5.59%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 18:10
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.43%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.43%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -5.87%E -2.67%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -12.43%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-07 18:15
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.57%EV -9.29%E -4.38%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 18:10
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.15%E -4.83%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-07 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -10.15%E -4.83%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-07 18:25
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.57%EV -12.29%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-07 18:25
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -12.29%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-07 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -12.29%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.45%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-07 17:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.16%EV -12.29%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.79%EV -11.35%E -3.82%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.06%EV -10.52%E -3.22%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 18:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.18%EV -12.29%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.00%EV -11.94%E -4.05%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.82%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-07 18:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.45%EV -11.43%E -5.52%K -10.69%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.09%EV -12.84%E -4.40%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -12.43%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-07 18:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -12.29%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.44%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-07 18:10
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -10.15%E -4.83%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -13.44%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-07 18:15
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -12.29%E -5.99%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -13.44%E -4.63%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-07 17:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 44.49%3.45I 28.99%NM 29.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 26.23%-1.0%2026-09-07 18:10
Matchbook◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-09-07 18:25
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-09-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-09-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-09-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%1.3%2026-09-07 18:25