Language:English
Pogoń Szczecin v Wieczysta Kraków
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pogoń Szczecin (Local)
Prediction 42.39%2.36fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -2.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.34%42.49%42.37%45.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.132.152.2751.02%46.99%46.51%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wieczysta Kraków (Visit)
Prediction 31.71%3.15fair odd
EV +3.07%
Edge +0.945%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.042%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.86%31.66%31.67%33.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.942.903.2538.46%33.96%34.48%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.89%3.86fair odd
EV -0.305%
Edge -0.079%
Kelly -0.107%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.15%25.84%25.97%26.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.333.543.523.8530.03%28.26%28.37%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pogoń Szczecin (Local): 42.39%; Wieczysta Kraków (Visit): 31.71%; Draw: 25.89%. For Wieczysta Kraków (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -11.83%E -5.69%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +3.07%E +0.945%K +1.36%G +0.042% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 12:11 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -11.83%E -5.69%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +3.07%E +0.945%K +1.36%G +0.042% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 12:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -11.83%E -5.69%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +3.07%E +0.945%K +1.36%G +0.042% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 12:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -11.83%E -5.69%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +3.07%E +0.945%K +1.36%G +0.042% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -11.83%E -5.69%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +3.07%E +0.945%K +1.36%G +0.042% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 12:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -11.83%E -5.69%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +3.07%E +0.945%K +1.36%G +0.042% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 12:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -11.83%E -5.69%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +3.07%E +0.945%K +1.36%G +0.042% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 12:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -11.83%E -5.69%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +3.07%E +0.945%K +1.36%G +0.042% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.70%EV -14.37%E -7.11%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -1.69%E -0.544%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -15.22%E -7.61%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -1.69%E -0.544%K -0.803%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.94%EV -16.49%E -8.37%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.94%EV -16.49%E -8.37%K -17.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-13 12:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -16.91%E -8.63%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-13 12:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -16.91%E -8.63%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-13 12:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 12:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.77%E -1.66%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.29%EV -5.49%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.32%EV -1.60%E -0.421%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-13 12:31 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.40%EV -5.89%E -2.65%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -6.13%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 12:41 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.40%EV -5.89%E -2.65%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -6.13%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 12:41 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.40%EV -5.89%E -2.65%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -6.13%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-13 12:41 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.32%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.45%EV -6.13%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-13 12:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.89%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 12:16 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 12:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -7.59%E -3.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 12:31 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.37%EV -4.62%E -2.05%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -0.305%E -0.079%K -0.107%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-13 12:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.62%E -2.05%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 12:31 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 12:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 12:31 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 12:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-13 12:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-13 12:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 12:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-13 12:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -7.59%E -3.48%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -9.62%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 12:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -9.62%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -13.10%E -6.39%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.97%EV -9.62%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-13 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -11.20%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -2.89%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 12:16 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.20%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-13 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -11.20%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-13 12:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.20%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.20%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-13 12:41 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.14%EV -11.83%E -5.69%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 31.53%EV -11.84%E -4.26%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.32%EV -13.77%E -4.14%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-13 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 12:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.18%EV -12.25%E -5.92%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -13.25%E -3.96%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-13 12:31 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -14.37%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 12:41 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -13.10%E -6.39%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.44%EV -17.54%E -6.75%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.15%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-09-13 12:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07% | 0.9% | 2026-09-13 12:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 12:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 12:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.62% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.96% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.84% | 1.8% | 2026-09-13 12:41 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.60% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.61% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79% | 2.1% | 2026-09-13 12:41 |