Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pogoń Szczecin v Wieczysta Kraków

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 12:45 UTC

Score final : Pogoń Szczecin 2–0 Wieczysta Kraków

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Pogoń Szczecin (Local)

Prévision 42.39%2.36cote équitable
EV -3.77%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -2.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.34%42.49%42.37%45.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.962.132.152.2751.02%46.99%46.51%44.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Wieczysta Kraków (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.71%3.15cote équitable
EV +3.07%
Avantage +0.945%
Kelly +1.36%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.86%31.66%31.67%33.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.942.903.2538.46%33.96%34.48%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.89%3.86cote équitable
EV -0.305%
Avantage -0.079%
Kelly -0.107%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.15%25.84%25.97%26.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.333.543.523.8530.03%28.26%28.37%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Pogoń Szczecin (Local) : 42.39% ; Wieczysta Kraków (Visiteur) : 31.71% ; Match nul : 25.89%. Pour Wieczysta Kraków (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.15. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.25, soit une espérance positive de +3.07%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -11.83%E -5.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +3.07%E +0.945%K +1.36%G +0.042%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 12:11
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -11.83%E -5.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +3.07%E +0.945%K +1.36%G +0.042%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 12:10
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -11.83%E -5.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +3.07%E +0.945%K +1.36%G +0.042%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -11.83%E -5.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +3.07%E +0.945%K +1.36%G +0.042%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 12:05
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -11.83%E -5.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +3.07%E +0.945%K +1.36%G +0.042%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -11.83%E -5.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +3.07%E +0.945%K +1.36%G +0.042%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -11.83%E -5.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +3.07%E +0.945%K +1.36%G +0.042%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 12:10
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.09%EV -11.83%E -5.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.86%EV +3.07%E +0.945%K +1.36%G +0.042%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 12:05
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.70%EV -14.37%E -7.11%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -1.69%E -0.544%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 12:05
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -15.22%E -7.61%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -1.69%E -0.544%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.94%EV -16.49%E -8.37%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.94%EV -16.49%E -8.37%K -17.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -16.91%E -8.63%K -17.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -16.91%E -8.63%K -17.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -3.27%E -1.07%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 12:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -4.86%E -1.62%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 12:20
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -3.77%E -1.66%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.29%EV -5.49%E -1.84%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.32%EV -1.60%E -0.421%K -0.571%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-13 12:31
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.40%EV -5.89%E -2.65%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -6.13%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 12:41
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.40%EV -5.89%E -2.65%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -6.13%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 12:41
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.40%EV -5.89%E -2.65%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -6.13%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -5.48%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 12:41
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.32%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.45%EV -6.13%E -2.07%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 12:35
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.89%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 12:16
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 12:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -7.59%E -3.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -6.44%E -2.18%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 12:31
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.37%EV -4.62%E -2.05%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.76%EV -0.305%E -0.079%K -0.107%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -4.62%E -2.05%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 12:31
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 12:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -10.66%E -3.09%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 12:31
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 12:30
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 12:25
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 12:20
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 12:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 12:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 12:15
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.03%E -2.77%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 12:40
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 12:39
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -8.66%E -3.01%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 12:40
Bovada🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.19%EV -7.59%E -3.48%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.27%EV -9.62%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 12:40
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -9.62%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -13.10%E -6.39%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.97%EV -9.62%E -3.37%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 12:30
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -11.20%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -2.89%E -0.772%K -1.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 12:16
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -6.74%E -3.06%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.20%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 12:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -11.20%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -8.07%E -2.27%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 12:30
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.20%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -11.20%E -4.00%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 12:41
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.14%EV -11.83%E -5.69%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.53%EV -11.84%E -4.26%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.32%EV -13.77%E -4.14%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 12:40
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 12:20
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -10.98%E -5.23%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -11.96%E -3.52%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-13 12:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.18%EV -12.25%E -5.92%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -12.79%E -4.65%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -13.25%E -3.96%K -5.64%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-13 12:31
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -8.86%E -4.12%K -7.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -14.37%E -5.32%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.37%E -2.68%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 12:41
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -13.10%E -6.39%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.44%EV -17.54%E -6.75%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.15%EV -6.78%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-13 12:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%0.9%2026-09-13 12:41
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-09-13 12:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%1.0%2026-09-13 12:35
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.62%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-09-13 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 41.96%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.84%1.8%2026-09-13 12:41
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 42.60%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%2.1%2026-09-13 12:41