L’École des cotes

Pogoń Szczecin v Legia Warszawa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-24 18:30 UTC

Score final : Pogoń Szczecin 0–1 Legia Warszawa

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Pogoń Szczecin (Local)

Prévision 35.37%2.83cote équitable
EV -0.960%
Avantage -0.343%
Kelly -0.533%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.17%35.37%35.27%36.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.632.602.8040.82%38.00%38.46%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Legia Warszawa (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.30%2.75cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -0.873%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.25%36.36%36.43%38.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.282.492.502.6943.86%40.19%40.00%37.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.33%3.53cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -0.575%
Kelly -0.809%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.88%28.27%28.29%29.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.233.213.4632.26%30.95%31.15%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.960%E -0.343%K -0.533%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -11.79%E -4.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 18:00
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.960%E -0.343%K -0.533%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -11.79%E -4.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 18:00
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.960%E -0.343%K -0.533%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -11.79%E -4.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 18:00
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.960%E -0.343%K -0.533%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -11.79%E -4.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 18:00
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.960%E -0.343%K -0.533%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -11.79%E -4.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 18:00
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.960%E -0.343%K -0.533%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -11.79%E -4.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 18:00
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.960%E -0.343%K -0.533%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -11.79%E -4.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 18:00
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.960%E -0.343%K -0.533%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -11.79%E -4.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 18:00
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.960%E -0.343%K -0.533%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -11.79%E -4.85%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 18:00
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -2.73%E -0.992%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -12.88%E -5.36%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-24 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -2.73%E -0.992%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -13.60%E -5.71%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 18:00
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -2.73%E -0.992%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -13.60%E -5.71%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-24 18:00
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -4.50%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-24 18:14
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.50%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.43%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 18:05
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -4.50%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -14.69%E -6.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-24 18:00
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.35%EV -6.27%E -2.36%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.81%EV -2.35%E -0.873%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.84%EV -1.99%E -0.575%K -0.809%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-24 18:25
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.27%E -2.36%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.80%E -1.43%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 18:13
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.27%E -2.36%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-24 18:10
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.31%EV -6.97%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -17.23%E -7.56%K -13.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-24 18:00
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -7.33%E -2.80%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -8.52%E -3.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 18:15
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -7.33%E -2.80%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -8.52%E -3.38%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 18:15
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -7.33%E -2.80%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 13:35
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.33%E -2.80%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 18:00
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.33%E -2.80%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 18:05
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.33%E -2.80%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 18:15
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.03%E -3.09%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -3.80%E -1.43%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 18:15
Marathon Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -8.03%E -3.09%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -8.79%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 18:15
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -8.03%E -3.09%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -8.79%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-24 18:15
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.03%E -3.09%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.43%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 18:20
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.03%E -3.09%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-24 18:20
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.03%E -3.09%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.06%E -4.51%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-24 13:35
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.03%E -3.09%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 18:10
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.03%E -3.09%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -11.06%E -4.51%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.03%E -3.09%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -11.06%E -4.51%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 18:05
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -8.03%E -3.09%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.07%EV -14.69%E -6.25%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-24 18:14
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.34%EV -8.74%E -3.39%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.25%EV -3.44%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 18:15
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.34%EV -8.74%E -3.39%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.25%EV -3.44%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 18:15
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.80%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.80%EV -6.34%E -2.46%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 18:15
BetUS2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.80%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.80%EV -6.34%E -2.46%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-24 18:20
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.80%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.43%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-24 18:15
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.80%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.43%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-24 18:15
betano_uk2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.80%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.43%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-24 18:15
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.80%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -11.06%E -4.51%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-24 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -9.80%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 18:15
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -9.80%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -11.06%E -4.51%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -10.77%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-24 18:25
Betclic (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.76%EV -9.80%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.93%EV -12.88%E -5.36%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.32%EV -11.34%E -3.62%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-24 18:19
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.57%E -4.63%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-24 18:25
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.57%E -4.63%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-24 18:15
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.57%E -4.63%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-24 18:15
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -11.57%E -4.63%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -13.60%E -5.71%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-24 18:10
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -13.34%E -5.44%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -12.88%E -5.36%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -10.77%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-24 18:15
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.57%EV -13.34%E -5.44%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.31%EV -12.88%E -5.36%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-24 18:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.93%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14%0.1%2026-07-24 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.74%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.27%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-07-24 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.55%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-07-24 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.55%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%1.2%2026-07-24 18:25
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-07-24 18:25