La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Pogoń Szczecin v Legia Warszawa
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Pogoń Szczecin (Local)
Predicción 35.37%2.83momio equitativo
EV -0.960%
Ventaja -0.343%
Kelly -0.533%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.17%35.37%35.27%36.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.632.602.8040.82%38.00%38.46%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Legia Warszawa (Visitante)
Predicción 36.30%2.75momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -0.873%
Kelly -1.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.25%36.36%36.43%38.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.282.492.502.6943.86%40.19%40.00%37.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.33%3.53momio equitativo
EV -1.99%
Ventaja -0.575%
Kelly -0.809%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.88%28.27%28.29%29.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.233.213.4632.26%30.95%31.15%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.960%E -0.343%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -11.79%E -4.85%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-24 18:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.960%E -0.343%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -11.79%E -4.85%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-24 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.960%E -0.343%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -11.79%E -4.85%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-24 18:00 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.960%E -0.343%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -11.79%E -4.85%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-24 18:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.960%E -0.343%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -11.79%E -4.85%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-24 18:00 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.960%E -0.343%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -11.79%E -4.85%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-24 18:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.960%E -0.343%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -11.79%E -4.85%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-24 18:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.960%E -0.343%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -11.79%E -4.85%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-24 18:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -0.960%E -0.343%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -11.79%E -4.85%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-24 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -2.73%E -0.992%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -12.88%E -5.36%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-24 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -2.73%E -0.992%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -13.60%E -5.71%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-24 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -2.73%E -0.992%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -13.60%E -5.71%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-24 18:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.30%EV -4.50%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.66%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-24 18:14 |
| BetMGM | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -4.50%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.43%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-24 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -4.50%E -1.67%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -14.69%E -6.25%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-24 18:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.35%EV -6.27%E -2.36%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.81%EV -2.35%E -0.873%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.84%EV -1.99%E -0.575%K -0.809%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-24 18:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.27%E -2.36%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -3.80%E -1.43%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-24 18:13 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.27%E -2.36%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-24 18:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.31%EV -6.97%E -2.65%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.43%EV -17.23%E -7.56%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.26%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-24 18:00 |
| Betsson | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -7.33%E -2.80%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -8.52%E -3.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-24 18:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.14%EV -7.33%E -2.80%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.53%EV -8.52%E -3.38%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-24 18:15 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -7.33%E -2.80%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-24 13:35 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.33%E -2.80%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-24 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.33%E -2.80%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-24 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -7.33%E -2.80%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-24 18:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -8.03%E -3.09%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -3.80%E -1.43%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -5.11%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-24 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -8.03%E -3.09%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -8.79%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 18:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -8.03%E -3.09%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.61%E -2.16%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -8.79%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 18:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%EV -8.03%E -3.09%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.00%EV -7.43%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-24 18:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.03%E -3.09%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-24 18:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.03%E -3.09%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -11.06%E -4.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-24 13:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -8.03%E -3.09%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-24 18:10 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.03%E -3.09%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -11.06%E -4.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-24 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -8.03%E -3.09%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -11.06%E -4.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-24 18:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.41%EV -8.03%E -3.09%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.07%EV -14.69%E -6.25%K -10.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -7.94%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-24 18:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.34%EV -8.74%E -3.39%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.25%EV -3.44%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-24 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.34%EV -8.74%E -3.39%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.25%EV -3.44%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-24 18:15 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.80%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.80%EV -6.34%E -2.46%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-24 18:15 |
| BetUS | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.80%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.80%EV -6.34%E -2.46%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-24 18:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.80%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.43%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-24 18:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.80%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.43%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-24 18:15 |
| betano_uk | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.80%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.43%E -2.91%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-24 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.80%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -11.06%E -4.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -6.52%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-24 18:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -9.80%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.88%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-24 18:15 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.08%EV -9.80%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -11.06%E -4.51%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -10.77%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-24 18:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.76%EV -9.80%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.93%EV -12.88%E -5.36%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.32%EV -11.34%E -3.62%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-07-24 18:19 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.57%E -4.63%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -3.69%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-24 18:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.57%E -4.63%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-24 18:15 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -11.57%E -4.63%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.24%E -3.70%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-24 18:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -11.57%E -4.63%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -13.60%E -5.71%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -9.36%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-24 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%EV -13.34%E -5.44%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%EV -12.88%E -5.36%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -10.77%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-24 18:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.57%EV -13.34%E -5.44%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.31%EV -12.88%E -5.36%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -12.19%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-07-24 18:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.93% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.14% | 0.1% | 2026-07-24 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.74% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.27% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-07-24 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.55% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 1.2% | 2026-07-24 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.55% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65% | 1.2% | 2026-07-24 18:25 |
| Smarkets | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.77% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.03% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-07-24 18:25 |