Language:English
Pogoń Szczecin v Korona Kielce
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pogoń Szczecin (Local)
Prediction 44.20%2.26fair odd
EV -4.96%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -4.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.25%44.08%45.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.062.072.1552.63%48.52%48.31%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Korona Kielce (Visit)
Prediction 28.94%3.46fair odd
EV +1.29%
Edge +0.368%
Kelly +0.516%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.17%28.88%29.11%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.173.203.5035.71%31.52%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.86%3.72fair odd
EV -3.32%
Edge -0.922%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.81%26.87%26.81%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.423.403.6033.33%29.22%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pogoń Szczecin (Local): 44.20%; Korona Kielce (Visit): 28.94%; Draw: 26.86%. For Korona Kielce (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.46. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.29%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -6.29%E -2.97%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV +1.29%E +0.368%K +0.516%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 16:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.86%EV -6.29%E -2.97%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV +1.29%E +0.368%K +0.516%G +0.007% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-16 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.76%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.06%EV -0.736%E -0.215%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.18%EV -4.93%E -1.39%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-16 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -8.05%E -3.87%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-16 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -8.05%E -3.87%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-16 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -8.05%E -3.87%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-16 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-16 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.33%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.29%EV -4.79%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-16 17:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -8.05%E -3.87%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -5.08%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-16 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -8.05%E -3.87%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.32%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-16 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.04%EV -8.50%E -4.10%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-16 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -8.94%E -4.34%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-16 17:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -8.94%E -4.34%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-16 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -8.94%E -4.34%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-16 17:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -8.94%E -4.34%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -4.66%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-16 17:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-16 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -8.50%E -4.10%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.03%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-16 17:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -8.50%E -4.10%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -10.03%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-16 17:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-16 16:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -3.32%E -0.922%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-16 16:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-16 16:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -9.82%E -4.81%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-16 17:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-16 17:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-16 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.39%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-16 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-16 16:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.95%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.30%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-16 16:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-16 17:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -10.71%E -5.30%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-16 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -8.05%E -3.87%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-16 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -11.59%E -5.80%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.67%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.18%EV -7.35%E -2.13%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-16 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.30%EV -9.71%E -3.11%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-16 17:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -4.96%E -2.31%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-16 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-16 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-16 16:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.27%EV -13.36%E -6.82%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-03-16 17:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -7.17%E -3.41%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -11.73%E -3.85%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -11.73%E -3.85%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.19%EV -13.80%E -7.08%K -14.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.89%EV -11.73%E -3.85%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.20%EV -11.59%E -5.80%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.17%EV -12.31%E -4.06%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.63%EV -10.84%E -3.27%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-16 17:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -6.01%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.38%E -4.58%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.69%E -2.56%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.00%EV -11.59%E -5.80%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.33%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -11.38%E -3.45%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-16 16:49 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.94%EV -12.03%E -6.05%K -12.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.91%EV -12.72%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-16 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 44.51%EV -14.68%E -7.61%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.64%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.85%EV -14.06%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-16 17:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -11.59%E -5.80%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -13.18%E -4.39%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.43%E -6.48%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-16 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.96%EV -11.59%E -5.80%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -14.63%E -4.96%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -10.03%E -3.00%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-16 16:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 44.01%EV -16.01%E -8.43%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.86%EV -18.97%E -6.77%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.13%EV -14.06%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-16 17:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-03-16 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.23% | 0.6% | 2026-03-16 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-03-16 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-03-16 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 1.5% | 2026-03-16 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.60% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.15% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25% | 3.0% | 2026-03-16 17:45 |